Related papers: Pathwise estimates for an effective dynamics

In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

A general theory is derived for the moments of the first passage time of a one-dimensional Markov process in presence of a weak time-dependent forcing. The linear corrections to the moments can be expressed by quadratures of the potential…

For a uniform process $\{ X_t: t\in E\}$ (by which $X_t $ is uniformly distributed on $(0,1)$ for $t\in E$) and a function $w(x)>0$ on $(0,1)$, we give a sufficient condition for the weak convergence of the empirical process based on $\{…

Time bounded reachability is a fundamental problem in model checking continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) and Markov decision processes (CTMDPs) for specifications in continuous stochastic logics. It can be computed by numerically solving…

Random acceleration is a fundamental stochastic process encountered in many applications. In the one-dimensional version of the process a particle is randomly accelerated according to the Langevin equation $\ddot{x}(t) = \sqrt{2D} \xi(t)$,…

For suitable families of locally infinitely divisible Markov processes $\{\xi^{{\epsilon}}_t\}_{0\leq t\leq T}$ with frequent small jumps depending on a small parameter $\epsilon>0,$ precise asymptotics for large deviations of integral…

The problem of constructing data-based, predictive, reduced models for the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation is considered, under circumstances where one has observation data only for a small subset of the dynamical variables. Accurate…

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a random process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For a given positive constant $u$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $C_r(u):=\{t\in[0,1]: X_{r:n}(t)>u\}$ with $ X_{r:n}$ the $r$th largest…

We prove the existence of solutions for the stochastic differential equation $dX_t=b(t,X_{t-})dZ_t+a(t,X_t)dt, X_0\in\R, t\ge 0,$ with only measurable coefficients $a$ and $b$ satisfying the condition $0<\mu\le |b(t,x)|\le \nu$ and…

Let $\{(X_t)_{t\geq 0}, \mathbb{P}_{\delta_x}, x\in E\}$ be a supercritical branching Markov process (which is not necessary symmetric) on a locally compact metric measure space $(E,\mu)$ with spatially dependent local branching mechanism.…

Modeling the temporal behavior of data is of primordial importance in many scientific and engineering fields. Baseline methods assume that both the dynamic and observation equations follow linear-Gaussian models. However, there are many…

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

This paper presents a new model for characterising temporal dependence in exceedances above a threshold. The model is based on the class of trawl processes, which are stationary, infinitely divisible stochastic processes. The model for…

In stochastic quantisation, quantum mechanical expectation values are computed as averages over the time history of a stochastic process described by a Langevin equation. Complex stochastic quantisation, though theoretically not rigorously…

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

This paper deals with ergodic theorems for particular time-inhomogeneous Markov processes, whose the time-inhomogeneity is asymptotically periodic. Under a Lyapunov/minorization condition, it is shown that, for any measurable bounded…

In this article, we consider additive functionals $\zeta_t = \int_0^t f(X_s)\mathrm{d} s$ of a c\`adl\`ag Markov process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{R}$. Under some general conditions on the process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ and on the function…

We consider approximate dynamic programming for the infinite-horizon stationary $\gamma$-discounted optimal control problem formalized by Markov Decision Processes. While in the exact case it is known that there always exists an optimal…