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In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time-inhomogeneous aggregate Markov models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in multi-state life insurance to model the biometric states of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt

The asymptotic normality in multi-dimension of the nonparametric estimator of the transition probabilities of a Markov renewal chain is proved, and is applied to that of other nonparametric estimators involved with the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Hiroki Ogata , Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz , Kouji Yano

A Markovian model of group-structured (two-level) population dynamics features births, deaths, and migrations of individuals, and fission and extinction of groups. These models are useful for studying group selection and other evolutionary…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-26 A. Puhalskii , B. Simon

The paper discusses a family of Markov processes that represent many particle systems, and their limiting behaviour when the number of particles go to infinity. The first part concerns model of biological systems: a model for sympatric…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-29 Bernt Wennberg

Reinforced processes are known to provide a stochastic representation for the quasi-stationary distribution of a given killed Markov process - describing the killed Markov process at fixed time instants. In this paper we shall adapt the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Oliver Tough

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are used as an important tool in the data analysis of repeated measures and longitudinal studies. The most common form of LMMs utilize a normal distribution to model the random effects. Such assumptions can often…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We characterise all the quasi-stationary distributions and the Q-process associated with a continuous state branching process that explodes in finite time. We also provide a rescaling for the continuous state branching process conditioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Cyril Labbé

We are interested in quasi-stationarity and quasi-ergodicity when the absorbing boundary is moving. First we show that, in the moving boundary case, the quasi-stationary distribution and the quasi-limiting distribution are not well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-25 William Oçafrain

In the light of several major epidemic events that emerged in the past two decades, and emphasized by the COVID-19 pandemics, the non-Markovian spreading models occurring on complex networks gained significant attention from the scientific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-30 Igor Tomovski , Lasko Basnarkov , Alajdin Abazi

This paper examines the quasi-stationary behavior of stochastic rumor processes. Using the results by van Doorn and Pollett (2008), we first prove that the continuous-time Maki--Thompson model has a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Iddo Ben-Ari , Elcio Lebensztayn , Lucas Sousa Santos

We present a class of SEIR Markov chain models for infectious diseases observed over discrete time in a random human population living in a closed environment. The population changes over time through random births, deaths, and transitions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-30 Divine Wanduku , Chinmoy Rahul

We consider a log-linear model for survival data, where both the location and scale parameters depend on covariates and the baseline hazard function is completely unspecified. This model provides the flexibility needed to capture many…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Kevin Burke , Frank Eriksson , C. B. Pipper

This article proposes an age-structured compartment model for irreversible diseases with a pre-clinical state of undiagnosed cases that precedes the diagnosis. The model is able to cope with mortality rates differing between the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-11 Ralph Brinks

We formulate a new criterion of the asymptotic stability for some non-equicontinuous Markov semigroups, the so-called eventually continuous semigroups. In particular, we provide a non-equicontinuous Markov semigroup example with essential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Fuzhou Gong , Yong Liu , Yuan Liu , Ziyu Liu

We discuss sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of asymptotic expansions for the Central Limit Theorem for weakly dependent random variables including observations arising from sufficiently chaotic dynamical systems like…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Kasun Fernando , Carlangelo Liverani

This paper presents some asymptotic results for statistics of Brownian semi-stationary (BSS) processes. More precisely, we consider power variations of BSS processes, which are based on high frequency (possibly higher order) differences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 José Manuel Corcuera , Emil Hedevang , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Mark Podolskij

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

Motivated by tumor growth models we establish conditions for the $R-$positivity of Markov processes and positive matrices. We then apply them to obtain the asymptotic behavior of the tumors sizes in the supercritical regime.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Analía Ferrari , Pablo Groisman , Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

We review a recent development at the interface between discrete mathematics on one hand and probability theory and statistics on the other, specifically the use of Markov chains and their boundary theory in connection with the asymptotics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Rudolf Grübel

We study a stochastic version of the classical Becker-D\"oring model, a well-known kinetic model for cluster formation that predicts the existence of a long-lived metastable state before a thermodynamically unfavorable nucleation occurs,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-07 Erwan Hingant , Romain Yvinec
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