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We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional process $\{(L_{1,n},L_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2$ with a supplemental process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set, where individual processes $\{L_{1,n}\}$ and $\{L_{2,n}\}$ are both skip free. We assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-19 Toshihisa Ozawa , Masahiro Kobayashi

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

A nonlinear cross-diffusion epidemic with a time-dependent Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Died system is proposed in this paper. This system is derived from kinetic theory model by multiscale approach, which leads to an equivalent system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Mohamed Zagour

For a large family of nonautonomous scalar-delayed differential equations used in population dynamics, some criteria for permanence are given, as well as explicit upper and lower bounds for the asymptotic behavior of solutions. The method…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Teresa Faria

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

Nonlinear Markov chains with finite state space have been introduced in Kolokoltsov (2010). The characteristic property of these processes is that the transition probabilities do not only depend on the state, but also on the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Berenice Anne Neumann

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

Dynamic epidemic models have proven valuable for public health decision makers as they provide useful insights into the understanding and prevention of infectious diseases. However, inference for these types of models can be difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-30 Theresa Stocks

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for explosion and implosion of birth-and-death (non-Markov) continuous-time random walks. In other words, we obtain conditions for $\infty$ to be accessible and for it to be an entrance point.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Andrey Pilipenko , Vadym Tkachenko

In the present work we derive a Central Limit Theorem for sequences of Hilbert-valued Piecewise Deterministic Markov process models and their global fluctuations around their deterministic limit identified by the Law of Large Numbers. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-23 Martin G Riedler , Michele Thieullen

We consider the relationship between stationary distributions for stochastic models of reaction systems and Lyapunov functions for their deterministic counterparts. Specifically, we derive the well known Lyapunov function of reaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-11 David F. Anderson , Gheorghe Craciun , Manoj Gopalkrishnan , Carsten Wiuf

We consider nonsynchronous sampling of parameterized stochastic regression models, which contain stochastic differential equations. Constructing a quasi-likelihood function, we prove that the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a stochastic spatial point process with births and deaths on $\mathbb{R}^d$, with the hard-core property that at any time the balls of radius half of any two points do not overlap. We give explicit construction of the process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Mayank Manjrekar

This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not uncommon in lines of business such as third-party liability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Martin Bladt

The three state illness death model has been established as a general approach for regression analysis of semi competing risks data. For observational data the marginal structural models (MSM) are a useful tool, under the potential outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Yiran Zhang , Andrew Ying , Steve Edland , Lon White , Ronghui Xu

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

We develop a general theory dealing with stochastic models for dynamical systems that are governed by various nonlinear, ordinary or partial differential, equations. In particular, we address the problem how flows in the random medium…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Piotr Garbaczewski

In this paper, we consider the following nonlinear disordered Stark model: $${\bf i}\partial_tu_n+\delta(u_{n+1}+u_{n-1})+nu_n+v_nu_n+\epsilon |u_n|^{2}u_n=0,\quad n\in\mathbb{Z}.$$ By employing the diagonalization of the associated linear…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Shengqing Hu , Yingte Sun

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais
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