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In this paper we study a particular class of Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) which are semi-stochastic catastrophe versions of deterministic population growth models. In between successive jumps the process follows a flow…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

This paper examines the impact of discrete marginal distributions on copula-based Markov chains. We present results on mixing and parameter estimation for a copula-based Markov chain model with Bernoulli($p$) marginal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Mathias N. Muia , Martial Longla

Growth mixture models (GMMs) incorporate both conventional random effects growth modeling and latent trajectory classes as in finite mixture modeling; therefore, they offer a way to handle the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Yuhong Wei , Yang Tang , Emilie Shireman , Paul D. McNicholas , Douglas L. Steinley

We establish some asymptotic expansions for infinite weighted convolution of distributions having regular varying tails. Various applications to statistics and probability are developed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

In this survey paper, we review the recent advances in individual based non--Markovian epidemic models. They include epidemic models with a constant infectivity rate, varying infectivity rate or infection-age dependent infectivity,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Raphael Forien , Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

This work aims at providing a new model for time series classification based on learning from just one example. We assume that time series can be well characterized as a parametric random process, a sort of Hidden semi-Markov Model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Adrián Pérez Herrero , Paulo Félix Lamas , Jesús María Rodríguez Presedo

We prove under mild conditions that the Fleming-Viot process selects the minimal quasi-stationary distribution for Markov processes with soft killing on non-compact state spaces. Our results are applied to multi-dimensional birth and death…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Multitype branching processes (MTBP) model branching structures, where the nodes of the resulting tree are objects of different types. One field of application of such models in biology is in studies of cell proliferation. A sampling scheme…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-19 Nina Daskalova

This article describes a method for computing limits of a class of non-stationary Markov chains motivated by healthcare sojourn-time cycles. A mathematical validation of the computation method is also given. Applications are described that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Samuel Awoniyi

In this paper we study long-term evolution of a finite system of locally interacting birth-and-death processes labelled by vertices of a finite connected graph. A detailed description of the asymptotic behaviour is obtained in the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Vadim Shcherbakov , Stanislav Volkov

The nonequilibrium stationary state of an irreversible spherical model is investigated on hypercubic lattices. The model is defined by Langevin equations similar to the reversible case, but with asymmetric transition rates. In spite of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 M. O. Hase , M. J. de Oliveira

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

We consider a continuum aggregation model with nonlinear local repulsion given by a degenerate power-law diffusion with general exponent. The steady states and their properties in one dimension are studied both analytically and numerically,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Martin Burger , Razvan Fetecau , Yanghong Huang

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Roberto Fernandez , Francesco Manzo , Matteo Quattropani , Elisabetta Scoppola

In this paper the spatial-temporal dynamics of the members of interacting populations is described by nonlinear partial differential equations. We consider the migration as a diffusion process influenced by the changing values of the birth…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2012-08-28 Ivan jordanov , Nikolay K. Vitanov , Elena Nikolova

We present a mathematical model describing the time development of a population of tumors subject to mutual angiogenic inhibitory signaling. Based on biophysical derivations, it describes organism-scale population dynamics under the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Sebastien Benzekry , Alberto Gandolfi , Philip Hahnfeldt

We propose a Markovian stochastic approach to model the spread of a SARS-CoV-2-like infection within a closed group of humans. The model takes the form of a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP), whose states are given by the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-26 Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli , Marco Frego , Marco Roveri

Asymptotic expansions for a wide class of distribution are studied. A simple method for computation of the series coefficients is suggested. The case when regularization parameter of the distribution depends on the asymptotic parameter is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Vladimir K. Petrov

This paper approaches the question of existence and uniqueness of stationary solutions to a semilinear hyperbolic-parabolic system and the study of the asymptotic behaviour of global solutions. The system is a model for some biological…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Francesca Romana Guarguaglini

This paper presents a novel extension of the edge-based compartmental model for epidemics with arbitrary distributions of transmission and recovery times. Using the message passing approach we also derive a new pairwise-like model for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-15 N. Sherborne , J. C. Miller , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss