Related papers: Nonlinearly Perturbed Birth-Death-Type Models
We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…
Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…
In this paper we study an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a random motion of a particle driven by a Markov process in diffusion approximation. We show that the singularly perturbed equation of a Markovian random motion can be…
The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…
Is studied asymptotic expansion for solution of singularly perturbed equation for Markov random evolution in Rd. The views of regular and singular parts of solution are found.
Parametric modeling of non-stationary signals is addressed in this article. We present several models based on the characteristic features of the modeled signal, together with the methods for accurate estimation of model parameters.…
Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…
We are interested in describing the infected size of the SIS Epidemic model using Birth-Death Markov process. The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is defined within a population of constant size $M$; the size is kept constant by…
We propose a semiparametric model for autonomous nonlinear dynamical systems and devise an estimation procedure for model fitting. This model incorporates subject-specific effects and can be viewed as a nonlinear semiparametric mixed…
We consider models of the population or opinion dynamics which result in the non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) exhibiting the spurious long-range memory. In this context, the correspondence between the description of the…
In this article a flexible Bayesian non-parametric model is proposed for non-homogeneous hidden Markov models. The model is developed through the amalgamation of the ideas of hidden Markov models and predictor dependent stick-breaking…
In this note, a general approach to the study of non-stationary Markov chains with catastrophes and the corresponding queuing models is considered, as well as to obtain estimates of the limiting regime itself. As an illustration, an example…
This study introduces a comparative modeling framework using stationary and non-stationary transition probabilities within a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to assess COVID-19 disease dynamics. Stationary transition probabilities assume…
In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…
We consider a nonlinear coupled discrete-time model of population dynamics. This model describes the movement of populations within a heterogeneous landscape, where the growth of subpopulations are modelled by (possibly different) bounded…
A birth-death-move process with mutations is a Markov model for a system of marked particles in interaction, that move over time, with births and deaths. In addition the mark of each particle may also change, which constitutes a mutation.…
Load-sharing systems arise in many different reliability applications, for instance, when modeling tensile strength of fibrous composites in textile industry or lifetimes of redundant technical systems in engineering. Sequential order…
We consider a class of birth-and-death processes describing a population made of $d$ sub-populations of different types which interact with one another. The state space is $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ (unbounded). We assume that the population goes…
To understand the long-run behavior of Markov population models, the computation of the stationary distribution is often a crucial part. We propose a truncation-based approximation that employs a state-space lumping scheme, aggregating…
We consider Vlasov-type scaling for Markov evolution of birth-and-death type in continuum, which is based on a proper scaling of corresponding Markov generators and has an algorithmic realization in terms of related hierarchical chains of…