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The coupled Wright-Fisher diffusion is a multi-dimensional Wright-Fisher diffusion for multi-locus and multi-allelic genetic frequencies, expressed as the strong solution to a system of stochastic differential equations that are coupled in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult , Timo Koski

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since the population size has no natural upper limit, this leads to systems in which there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-01 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

We continue our study of the distribution of the maximal number $X^{\ast}_k$ of offsprings amongst all individuals in a critical Galton-Watson process started with $k$ ancestors, treating the case when the reproduction law has a regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Jean Bertoin

Source-sink systems are metapopulations of patches that can be of variable habitat quality. They can be seen as graphs, where vertices represent the patches, and the weighted oriented edges give the probability of dispersal from one patch…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Vincent Bansaye , Amaury Lambert

The Moran process is a foundational model of genetic drift and mutation in finite populations. In its standard two-allele form with population size $n$, allele counts, and hence allele frequencies, change through stochastic replacement and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

A reparametrized Dirichlet-multinomial distribution is introduced, and the covariance matrix, as well as, the algorithm for calculating the PDF for n species are provided. The distribution is suited for modelling the joint distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-04 Christian Damgaard

We introduce a general diploid population model with self-fertilization and possible overlapping generations, and study the genealogy of a sample of $n$ genes as the population size $N$ tends to infinity. Unlike traditional approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Louis Wai-Tong Fan , Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

Understanding the evolution of binary traits, which affects the birth and survival of species and also the rate of molecular evolution, remains challenging. A typical example is the evolution of mating systems in plant species. In this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-04 Daniah Tahir , Sylvain Glémin , Martin Lascoux , Ingemar Kaj

We consider a (sub) critical Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations (infinite alleles model), and decompose the entire population into clusters of individuals carrying the same allele. We specify the law of this allelic partition in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-28 Jean Bertoin

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

The scaled standard Wigner matrix (symmetric with mean zero, variance one i.i.d. entries), and its limiting eigenvalue distribution, namely the semi-circular distribution, has attracted much attention. The $2k$th moment of the limit equals…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Arup Bose , Koushik Saha , Arusharka Sen , Priyanka Sen

What can one say on convergence to stationarity of a finite state Markov chain that behaves "locally" like a nearest neighbor random walk on ${\mathbb Z}$ ? The model we consider is a version of nearest neighbor lazy random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Iddo Ben-Ari , Hugo Panzo , Elizabeth Tripp

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

Assume that one observes the $k$th, $2k$th$,\ldots,nk$th value of a Markov chain $X_{1,h},\ldots,X_{nk,h}$. That means we assume that a high frequency Markov chain runs in the background on a very fine time grid but that it is only observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen , Jeannette Woerner

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

We consider a population with two types of individuals, distinguished by the resources required for reproduction: type-$0$ (small) individuals need a fractional resource unit of size $\vartheta \in (0,1)$, while type-$1$ (large) individuals…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Gerold Alsmeyer , Fernando Cordero , Hannah Dopmeyer

We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the genealogy of a logistic branching process in the setting where the equilibrium population size is large. In three regimes on the tail of the offspring distribution we recover the Kingman,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Ruairi Garrett , Julio Ernesto Nava Trejo

We consider catalytic branching populations. They consist of a catalyst population evolving according to a critical binary branching process in continuous time with a constant branching rate and a reactant population with a branching rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Andreas Greven , Lea Popovic , Anita Winter