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We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Andrea Pandolfi , Marco Piretto , Matteo Ruggiero

Bacteria are known to exchange genetic information by horizontal gene transfer. Since the frequency of homologous recombination depends on the similarity of recombining segments, several studies examined whether this could lead to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Sergey Pirogov , Aleksandre Rybko , Anastasia Kalinina , Mikhail Gelfand

A simple analytical framework to study the molecular quasispecies evolution of finite populations is proposed, in which the population is assumed to be a random combination of the constiyuent molecules in each generation,i.e., linkage…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Domingos Alves , J. F. Fontanari

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

An inequality of K. Marton shows that the joint distribution of a Markov chain with uniformly contracting transition kernels exhibits concentration. We prove an analogous inequality for broadcast models on finite trees. We use this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Christopher Shriver

A proper understanding of the links between varying gene expression levels and complex trait adaptation is still lacking, despite recent advances in sequencing techniques leading to new insights on their importance in some evolutionary…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Léonard Dekens , Sepideh Mirrahimi

Stochastic models for collections of interacting populations have crucial roles in scientific fields such as epidemiology and ecology, yet the standard approach to extending an ordinary differential equation model to a Markov chain does not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

In this work we model the dynamics of a population that evolves as a continuous time branching process with a trait structure and ecological interactions in form of mutations and competition between individuals. We generalize existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Gabriel Berzunza , Anja Sturm , Anita Winter

Study sample sizes in human genetics are growing rapidly, and in due course it will become routine to analyze samples with hundreds of thousands if not millions of individuals. In addition to posing computational challenges, such large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-24 Anand Bhaskar , Andrew G. Clark , Yun S. Song

In work on the two alleles Moran model, Ewens showed that the stationary distribution for the number of genes of one type can be approximated by a Beta distribution. In this short note, we provide a sharp error term for this approximation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Jason Fulman

When analyzing data from multiple sources, it is often convenient to strike a careful balance between two goals: capturing the heterogeneity of the samples and sharing information across them. We introduce a novel framework to model a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Laura D'Angelo , Bernardo Nipoti , Andrea Ongaro

We present a model for growth in a multi-species population. We consider two types evolving as a logistic branching process with mutation, where one of the types has a selective advantage, and are interested in the regime in which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Marta Dai Pra , Julian Kern

We consider a dynamic metapopulation involving one large population of size N surrounded by colonies of size \varepsilon_NN, usually called peripheral isolates in ecology, where N\to\infty and \varepsilon_N\to 0 in such a way that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Amaury Lambert , Chunhua Ma

We model evolution according to an asymmetric game as occurring in multiple finite populations, one for each role in the game, and study the effect of subjecting individuals to stochastic strategy mutations. We show that, when these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-22 Carl Veller , Laura K. Hayward

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

The discrete distribution of the length of longest increasing subsequences in random permutations of $n$ integers is deeply related to random matrix theory. In a seminal work, Baik, Deift and Johansson provided an asymptotics in terms of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Folkmar Bornemann

We provide a detailed description of the structure of the transition probabilities and of the hitting distributions of boundary components of a manifold with corners for a degenerate strong Markov process arising in population genetics. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Charles L. Epstein , Camelia A. Pop

The long time behavior of an absorbed Markov process is well described by the limiting distribution of the process conditioned to not be killed when it is observed. Our aim is to give an approximation's method of this limit, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-25 Denis Villemonais

In this paper, Lyapunov-Razumikhin technique, design of state-dependent switching laws, a fixed point theorem and variational methods are employed to derive the existence and the unique existence results of globally exponentially stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Ruofeng Rao , Jialin Huang , Xiaodi Li

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin