Related papers: Frequentistic approximations to Bayesian prevision…
For exponentially distributed lifetimes, we consider the prediction of future order statistics based on having observed the first $m$ order statistics. We focus on the previously less explored aspects of predicting: (i) an arbitrary pair of…
The experimental problem of converting a measured binomial quantity, the fraction of events in a sample that pass a cut, into a physical binomial quantity, the fraction of events originating from a signal source, is described as a system of…
In inference problems involving a multi-dimensional parameter $\theta$, it is often natural to consider decision rules that have a risk which is invariant under some group $G$ of permutations of $\theta$. We show that this implies that the…
In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…
The exact expression is derived for the expected value, $< {p_i}> $, for the parameter for any bin $i$ of a histogram following a multinomial distribution derived by sorting $N$ observations into bins of $B$ classes, if $n_i$ of the…
In this present work, we discuss the Bayesian inference for the bivariate pseudo-exponential distribution. Initially, we assume independent gamma priors and then pseudo-gamma priors for the pseudo-exponential parameters. We are primarily…
A result of Chebyshev (1864) and Hoeffding1956}, on bounding an expectation of a given function with respect to a Bernoulli convolution (also called Poisson binomial law, or law of the number of successes in independent trials) with any…
We consider a population of Bayesian agents who share a common prior over some finite state space and each agent is exposed to some information about the state. We ask which distributions over empirical distributions of posteriors beliefs…
Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…
This work establishes computable bounds between f-divergences for probability measures within a generalized quasi-$\varepsilon_{(M,m)}$-neighborhood framework. We make the following key contributions. (1) a unified characterization of local…
Let X_1,X_2,... be a sequence of [0,1]-valued i.i.d. random variables, let c\geq 0 be a sampling cost for each observation and let Y_i=X_i-ic, i=1,2,.... For n=1,2,..., let M(Y_1,...,Y_n)=E(max_{1\leq i\leq n}Y_i) and…
This paper derives lower bounds for the mean square errors of parameter estimators in the case of Poisson distributed data subjected to multiple abrupt changes. Since both change locations (discrete parameters) and parameters of the Poisson…
It is well known that if a submartingale $X$ is bounded then the increasing predictable process $Y$ and the martingale $M$ from the Doob decomposition $% X=Y+M$ can be unbounded. In this paper for some classes of increasing convex functions…
We obtain a lower bound for \[ \#\{x/2< p_{n}\leq x:\ p_n \equiv\ldots\equiv p_{n+m}\equiv a\text{ (mod $q$)},\ p_{n+m} - p_{n}\leq y\}, \] where $p_{n}$ is the $n^{\text{th}}$ prime.
Consider universal data compression: the length $l(x^n)$ of sequence $x^n\in A^n$ with finite alphabet $A$ and length $n$ satisfies Kraft's inequality over $A^n$, and $-\frac{1}{n}\log \frac{P^n(x^n)}{Q^n(x^n)}$ almost surely converges to…
We show that when the proportions of a countable set of species are organized as an exchangeable partition of the unit interval and we take a sample on it, then the Bayesian posterior entropy converges a.s. and in L^1 to the entropy of the…
Let $\Xi_n=\{\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n\}$ be a sample of $n$ independent points distributed in a regular closed element $K$ of the extended convex ring in $\mathbb{R}^d$ according to a probability measure $\mu$ on $K$, admitting a density function.…
Estimating the probability distribution 'q' governing the behaviour of a certain variable by sampling its value a finite number of times most typically involves an error. Successive measurements allow the construction of a histogram, or…
Exact upper and lower bounds on the ratio $\mathsf{E}w(\mathbf{X}-\mathbf{v})/\mathsf{E}w(\mathbf{X})$ for a centered Gaussian random vector $\mathbf{X}$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$, as well as bounds on the rate of change of…
In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…