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Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

Dynamical systems in nature such as fluid flows, heart beat patterns, rainfall variability, stock market price fluctuations, etc. exhibit selfsimilar fractal fluctuations on all scales in space and time. Power spectral analyses of fractal…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam

In order to calculate the unobserved volatility in conditional heteroscedastic time series models, the natural recursive approximation is very often used. Following \cite{StraumannMikosch2006}, we will call the model \emph{invertible} if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Alexey Sorokin

Chaos synchronization in one of charge-carrier dynamical systems in photoconductors is studied within both the replica and nonreplica approaches.It has been shown that using the boundedness of the solutions of the dynamical systems,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Shahverdiev E. M

Dynamical scaling is an asymptotic property typical for the dynamics of first-order phase transitions in physical systems and related to self-similarity. Based on the integral-representation for the marginal probabilities of a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Markus Kreer

We disclose a new class of patterns, called patched patterns, in arrays of non-locally coupled excitable units with attractive and repulsive interactions. Self-organization process involves formation of two types of patches, majority and…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-09-28 Igor Franović , Sebastian Eydam

Chaos is an inherently dynamical phenomenon traditionally studied for trajectories that are either permanently erratic or transiently influenced by permanently erratic ones lying on a set of measure zero. The latter gives rise to the final…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-12 Adilson E. Motter , Marton Gruiz , Gyorgy Karolyi , Tamas Tel

In this paper, we introduce two new matrix stochastic processes: fractional Wishart processes and $\varepsilon$-fractional Wishart processes with integer indices which are based on the fractional Brownian motions and then extend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Jia Yue , Nan-jing Huang

This paper introduces an analytical formula for the fractional-order conditional moments of nonlinear drift constant elasticity of variance (NLD-CEV) processes under regime switching, governed by continuous-time finite-state irreducible…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Kittisak Chumpong , Khamron Mekchay , Fukiat Nualsri , Phiraphat Sutthimat

Price range contains important information about the asset volatility, and has long been considered an important indicator for it. In this paper, we propose to jointly model the [low, high] price range as a random interval and introduce an…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Yan Sun , Jennifer Loveland , Isaac Blackhurst

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

We consider the Fractionally Integrated Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity process, denoted by FIEGARCH(p,d,q), introduced by Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996). We present a simulated study regarding the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Taiane S. Prass , Sílvia R. C. Lopes

Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Xiaoqi Lei , Zixiang Yan , Jian Gao , Yueheng Lan , Jinghua Xiao

Dynamical chaos has recently been shown to exist in the Gaussian approximation in quantum mechanics and in the self-consistent mean field approach to studying the dynamics of quantum fields. In this study, we first show that any variational…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-11-26 Fred Cooper , John Dawson , Salman Habib , Robert D. Ryne

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

We reinvestigate the dynamical behavior of a first order scalar nonlinear delay differential equation with piecewise linearity and identify several interesting features in the nature of bifurcations and chaos associated with it as a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 D. V. Senthilkumar , M. Lakshmanan

Fracture processes in heterogeneous materials comprise a large number of disordered spatial degrees of freedom, representing the dynamical state of a sample over the entire domain of interest. This complexity is usually modeled directly,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-25 Yon Visell , Guillaume Millet

Critical transitions occur in a variety of dynamical systems. Here, we employ quantifiers of chaos to identify changes in the dynamical structure of complex systems preceding critical transitions. As suitable indicator variables for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-27 Nahal Sharafi , Marc Timme , Sarah Hallerberg

In this paper, we consider subgeometric (specifically, polynomial) ergodicity of univariate nonlinear autoregressions with autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH). The notion of subgeometric ergodicity was introduced in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-15 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

We present a comprehensive theoretical framework that unifies chaotic wavefront dynamics with classical aberration theory through a Statistical Wavefront Reconstruction Framework (SWRF) formalism. By establishing rigorous connections…

Optics · Physics 2025-06-23 Netzer Moriya
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