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Let $X = \{X_{u}\}_{u \in U}$ be a real-valued Gaussian process indexed by a set $U$. It can be thought of as an undirected graphical model with every random variable $X_{u}$ serving as a vertex. We characterize this graph in terms of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

Based on the principle of chaotification for continuous-time autonomous systems, which relies on two basic properties of chaos, i.e., globally bounded with necessary positive-zero-negative Lyapunov exponents, this paper derives a feasible…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-12-21 Simin Yu , Guanrong Chen

We construct, for the first time to our knowledge, a one-dimensional stochastic field $\{u(x)\}_{x\in \mathbb{R}}$ which satisfies the following axioms which are at the core of the phenomenology of turbulence mainly due to Kolmogorov: (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Laurent Chevillard , Christophe Garban , Rémi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas

This study presents a fractional-order continuum mechanics approach that allows combining selected characteristics of nonlocal elasticity, typical of classical integral and gradient formulations, under a single frame-invariant framework.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Sansit Patnaik , Sai Sidhardh , Fabio Semperlotti

Identifying systemic risk patterns in geopolitical, economic, financial, environmental, transportation, epidemiological systems and their impacts is the key to risk management. This paper proposes a new nonlinear time series model:…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-03 Jingyu Ji , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

This paper introduces a novel Ito diffusion process to model high-frequency financial data, which can accommodate low-frequency volatility dynamics by embedding the discrete-time non-linear exponential GARCH structure with log-integrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-09 Donggyu Kim

We investigate chaos in mixed-phase-space Hamiltonian systems using time series of the finite- time Lyapunov exponents. The methodology we propose uses the number of Lyapunov exponents close to zero to define regimes of ordered…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-16 R. M. da Silva , C. Manchein , M. W. Beims , E. G. Altmann

Large continuous-time Markov chains with exponentially small transition rates arise in modeling complex systems in physics, chemistry and biology. We propose a constructive graph-algorithmic approach to determine the sequence of critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Tingyue Gan , Maria Cameron

Recently, a class of stochastic processes known as piecewise deterministic Markov processes has been used to define continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with a number of attractive properties, including compatibility with…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 Alexander Terenin , Daniel Thorngren

A subdiffusion problem in which the diffusion term is related to a stable stochastic process is introduced. Linear models of these systems have been studied in a general way, but non-linear models require a more specific analysis. The model…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Soveny Solís , Vicente Vergara

Study of instantaneous dependence among several variable is important in many of the high-dimensional sciences. Multivariate GARCH models are as a standard approach for modelling time-varying covariance matrix such phenomena. Cholesky GARCH…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Toktam Valizadeh , Saeid Rezakhah

Brains process information through the collective dynamics of large neural networks. Collective chaos was suggested to underlie the complex ongoing dynamics observed in cerebral cortical circuits and determine the impact and processing of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-04 Rainer Engelken , Fred Wolf , L. F. Abbott

We discuss the presence of both dynamical chaos and signals of a second--order phase transition in numerical Vlasov simulations of nuclear multifragmentation. We find that chaoticity and criticality are strongly related and play a crucial…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-09-25 A. Atalmi , M. Baldo , G. F. Burgio , A. Rapisarda

Let $X_t$ be a reversible and positive recurrent diffusion in $R^d$ described by \begin{equation}\nonumber X_t=x+\sigma b(t)+\int_0^tm(X_s)\dif s, \end{equation} where the diffusion coefficient $\sigma$ is a positive-definite matrix and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. Baldini

Various functional limit theorems for partial sum processes of strictly stationary sequences of regularly varying random variables in the space of cadlag functions $D[0,1]$ with one of the Skorohod topologies have already been obtained. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 Danijel Krizmanic

We introduce a generalisation of the well-known ARCH process, widely used for generating uncorrelated stochastic time series with long-term non-Gaussian distributions and long-lasting correlations in the (instantaneous) standard deviation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-12 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Evaldo M. F. Curado , Fernando D. Nobre

We consider a stationary regularly varying time series which can be expressedas a function of a geometrically ergodic Markov chain. We obtain practical conditionsfor the weak convergence of the tail array sums and feasible estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier , Olivier Wintenberger , Rafa Kulik

We consider a general McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation driven by a rotationally invariant $\alpha$-stable process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $\alpha \in (1,2)$. We assume that the diffusion coefficient is the identity matrix and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Thomas Cavallazzi

In this paper, we study the fiber-chaos of switched linear dynamical systems.

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-21 Xiongping Dai , Tingwen Huang , Yu Huang , Mingqing Xiao

We consider a mechanism for area preserving Hamiltonian systems which leads to the enhanced probability, $P(\lambda, t)$, to find small values of the finite time Lyapunov exponent, $\lambda$. In our investigation of chaotic dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. G. Silvestrov , I. V. Ponomarev