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Robbins' problem of optimal stopping asks one to minimise the expected {\it rank} of observation chosen by some nonanticipating stopping rule. We settle a conjecture regarding the {\it value} of the stopped variable under the rule optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov

In Robbins' problem of minimizing the expected rank, a finite sequence of $n$ independent, identically distributed random variables are observed sequentially and the objective is to stop at such a time that the expected rank of the selected…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Pieter C. Allaart , Andrew Allen

We consider the best-choice problem for independent (not necessarily iid) observations $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ with the aim of selecting the sample minimum. We show that in this full generality the monotone case of optimal stopping holds and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Alexander Gnedin , Patryk Kozieł , Małgorzata Sulkowska

In the classical optimal stopping problem, a player is given a sequence of random variables $X_1\ldots X_n$ with known distributions. After observing the realization of $X_i$, the player can either accept the observed reward from $X_i$ and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Shipra Agrawal , Jay Sethuraman , Xingyu Zhang

This paper considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent but not necessary identically distributed. The main result is a sharp lower bound for the optimal win…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Pieter C. Allaart , Jose A. Islas

For $\tau$ a stopping rule adapted to a sequence of $n$ iid observations, we define the loss to be $\ex [ q(R_\tau)]$, where $R_j$ is the rank of the $j$th observation, and $q$ is a nondecreasing function of the rank. This setting covers…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander V. Gnedin

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

The Chow-Robbins game is a classical still partly unsolved stopping problem introduced by Chow and Robbins in 1965. You repeatedly toss a fair coin. After each toss, you decide if you take the fraction of heads up to now as a payoff,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Sören Christensen , Simon Fischer

This note considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent and identically distributed. Consider $X_1,\dots,X_n$ to be an independent sequence of random variables, let…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-11 José A. Islas

We solve the problem of optimal stopping of a Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the stopping time's distribution is a given measure consisting of finitely-many atoms. In particular, we show that this problem can be converted to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Christopher W. Miller

In a prophet inequality problem, $n$ independent random variables are presented to a gambler one by one. The gambler decides when to stop the sequence and obtains the most recent value as reward. We evaluate a stopping rule by the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrés Cristi , Bruno Ziliotto

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

In this paper, we consider multistopping problems for finite discrete time sequences $X_1,...,X_n$. $m$-stops are allowed and the aim is to maximize the expected value of the best of these $m$ stops. The random variables are neither assumed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Andreas Faller , Ludger Rüschendorf

Consider the optimal stopping problem of a one-dimensional diffusion with positive discount. Based on Dynkin's characterization of the value as the minimal excessive majorant of the reward and considering its Riesz representation, we give…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-03 Fabián Crocce , Ernesto Mordecki

In this article we study the expected rank problem under full information. Our approach uses the planar Poisson approach from Gnedin (2007) to derive the expected rank of a stopping rule that is one of the simplest non-trivial examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Martin Meier , Leopold Sögner

Many decision problems in economics, information technology, and industry can be transformed to an optimal stopping of adapted random vectors with some utility function over the set of Markov times with respect to filtration build by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

In a compound decision problem, consisting of $n$ statistically independent copies of the same problem to be solved under the sum of the individual losses, any reasonable compound decision rule $\delta$ satisfies a natural symmetry…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Asaf Weinstein

It is well understood that if one is given a set $X \subset [0,1]$ of $n$ independent uniformly distributed random variables, then $$ \sup_{0 \leq x \leq 1} \left| \frac{\# X \cap [0,x]}{\# X} - x \right| \lesssim \frac{\sqrt{\log{n}}}{…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Dmitriy Bilyk , Stefan Steinerberger

In "Recognizing the Maximum of a Sequence", Gilbert and Mosteller analyze a full information game where n measurements from an uniform distribution are drawn and a player (knowing n) must decide at each draw whether or not to choose that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Marcos Costa Santos Carreira

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas
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