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In the forthcoming ISDA Standard Credit Support Annex (SCSA), the trades denominated in non-G5 currencies as well as those include multiple currencies are expected to be allocated to the USD silo, where the contracts are collateralized by…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-09 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

One of the most challenging aspects in the analysis and modelling of financial markets, including Credit Default Swap (CDS) markets, is the presence of an emergent, intermediate level of structure standing in between the microscopic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-30 Ioannis Anagnostou , Tiziano Squartini , Drona Kandhai , Diego Garlaschelli

The notion of a credit spread curve is fundamental in fixed income investing, but in practice it is not `given' and needs to be constructed from bond prices either for a particular issuer, or for a sector rating-by-rating. Rather than…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Richard J. Martin

This paper studies the spillovers of European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate shocks into the Canadian economy and compares them with those of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). We combine a VAR model and local projection regressions with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-18 Santiago Camara , Jeanne Aublin

The impact of a stress scenario of default events on the loss distribution of a credit portfolio can be assessed by determining the loss distribution conditional on these events. While it is conceptually easy to estimate loss distributions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-11 Dirk Tasche

Companies do not operate in a vacuum. As companies move towards an increasingly specialized production function and their reach is becoming truly global, their aptitude in managing and shaping their inter-organizational network is a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-24 Tore Opsahl , William Newton

In this paper, we deal with an axiomatic approach to default risk. We introduce the notion of a default risk measure, which generalizes the classical probability of default (PD), and allows to incorporate model risk in various forms. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

We investigate quotation and transaction activities in the foreign exchange market for every week during the period of June 2007 to December 2010. A scaling relationship between the mean values of number of quotations (or number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Aki-Hiro Sato , Takaki Hayashi , Janusz A. Hołyst

In this paper we propose a simple and efficient method to compute the ordered default time distributions in both the homogeneous case and the two-group heterogeneous case under the interacting intensity default contagion model. We give the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-19 Jia-Wen Gu , Wai-Ki Ching , Tak-Kuen Siu , Harry Zheng

In this paper, we have studied the pricing of a continuously collateralized CDS. We have made use of the "survival measure" to derive the pricing formula in a straightforward way. As a result, we have found that there exists irremovable…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-12 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 Juan Luis Lopez , Jesus Guillermo Contreras

Banks and financial institutions all over the world manage portfolios containing tens of thousands of customers. Not all customers are high credit-worthy, and many possess varying degrees of risk to the Bank or financial institutions that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Dominic Joseph

Groups of enterprises can serve as guarantees for one another and form complex networks when obtaining loans from commercial banks. During economic slowdowns, corporate default may spread like a virus and lead to large-scale defaults or…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Zhibin Niu , Runlin Li , Junqi Wu , Dawei Cheng , Jiawan Zhang

We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 Lijun Bo , Ying Jiao , Xuewei Yang

A standard quantitative method to access credit risk employs a factor model based on joint multivariate normal distribution properties. By extending a one-factor Gaussian copula model to make a more accurate default forecast, this paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-07 Meng-Jou Lu , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This paper considers the problem of measuring the credit risk in portfolios of loans, bonds, and other instruments subject to possible default under multi-factor models. Due to the amount of the portfolio, the heterogeneous effect of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chuan-Ju Wang

Risk-averse investors often wish to exclude stocks from their portfolios that bear high credit risk, which is a measure of a firm's likelihood of bankruptcy. This risk is commonly estimated by constructing signals from quarterly accounting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Maksim Papenkov , Beau Robinette

We present a general derivation of the arbitrage-free pricing framework for multiple-currency collateralized products. We include the impact on option pricing of the policy adopted to fund in foreign currency, so that we are able to price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-15 Nicola Moreni , Andrea Pallavicini

This work studies the symmetry between colloidal dynamics and the dynamics of the Euro--US Dollar currency exchange market (EURUSD). We consider the EURUSD price in the time range between 2001 and 2015, where we find significant qualitative…

We use a FAVAR model with proxy variables and sign restrictions to investigate the role of the euro area's common output and inflation cycles in the transmission of monetary policy shocks. Our findings indicate that common cycles explain…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-02 Lukas Berend , Jan Prüser
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