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The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

The credit crisis and the ongoing European sovereign debt crisis have highlighted the native form of credit risk, namely the counterparty risk. The related Credit Valuation Adjustment, (CVA), Debt Valuation Adjustment (DVA), Liquidity…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-19 Stéphane Crépey , Rémi Gerboud , Zorana Grbac , Nathalie Ngor

CDS (credit default swap) contracts that were initiated some time ago frequently have spreads and/or maturities that are not available on the current market of CDSs, and are thus illiquid. This article introduces an incomplete-market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-07 Michael B. Walker

Risk-neutral default probabilities can be implied from credit default swap (CDS) market quotes. In practice, mid CDS quotes are used as inputs, as their risk-neutral counterparts are not observable. We show how to imply risk-neutral default…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-17 Matteo Michielon , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Stephan Schwill

We derive an arbitrage free relationship between recovery swap rates, digital default swap spreads and conventional CDS spreads, and argue that the fair forward recovery rate used in recovery swaps must contain a convexity premium over the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-07 Arthur M. Berd

This paper introduces a credit risk rating model for credit risk assessment in quantitative finance, aiming to categorize borrowers based on their behavioral data. The model is trained on data from Experian, a widely recognized credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-19 O. Didkovskyi , N. Jean , G. Le Pera , C. Nordio

We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

We examine the problem of dynamic reserving for risk in multiple currencies under a general coherent risk measure. The reserver requires to hedge risk in a time-consistent manner by trading in baskets of currencies. We show that reserving…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-18 Saul Jacka , Seb Armstrong , Abdel Berkaoui

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, much attention has been paid to investigating the appropriateness of the current practice of default risk modeling in banking, finance and insurance industries. A recent empirical study by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-28 Jia-Wen Gu , Bo Jiang , Wai-Ki Ching , Harry Zheng

Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-19 Yoshiharu Maeno , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima , Kenichi Amagai

Credit exposure in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) is often implicit and token-mediated, creating a dense web of inter-protocol dependencies. Thus, a shock to one token may result in significant and uncontrolled contagion effects. As the DeFi…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Aijie Shu , Wenbin Wu , Gbenga Ibikunle , Fengxiang He

According to theoretical models of valuing risky corporate securities, risk of default is primary component in overall yield spread. However, sizable empirical literature considers it otherwise by giving more importance to non-default risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-15 Syed Muhammad Noaman Ahmed Shah , Mazen Kebewar

This paper aims at solving FX market volatility modeling problem and finding the most becoming approach to this task. Validity of two competing approaches, classical econometric generalized conditional heteroscedasticity and mathematical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Anton Koshelev

We derive a closed-form approximation for the credit default swap (CDS) spread in the two-dimensional shifted square-root diffusion (SSRD) model using asymptotic coefficient expansion technique to approximate solutions of nonlinear partial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-04 Ankush Agarwal , Ying Liao

The dynamical behavior of the currency exchange rate after its large-scale catastrophe is discussed through a case study of the rate of Russian rubles to US dollars after its crash in 2014. It is shown that, similarly to the case of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-16 Vasilya Usmanova , Yury V. Lysogorskiy , Sumiyoshi Abe

We consider the problem of constructing an appropriate multivariate model for the study of the counterparty credit risk in credit rating migration problem. For this financial problem different multivariate Markov chain models were proposed.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-08 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

We develop a model for the dynamic evolution of default-free and defaultable interest rates in a LIBOR framework. Utilizing the class of affine processes, this model produces positive LIBOR rates and spreads, while the dynamics are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-15 Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon

In this paper we develop structural first passage models (AT1P and SBTV) with time-varying volatility and characterized by high tractability, moving from the original work of Brigo and Tarenghi (2004, 2005) [19] [20] and Brigo and Morini…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Massimo Morini , Marco Tarenghi
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