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Bayesian optimisation is an adaptive sampling strategy for constructing a Gaussian process surrogate to efficiently search for the global minimum of a black-box computational model. Gaussian processes have limited applicability in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-04 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

We provide a MATLAB toolbox, BFDA, that implements a Bayesian hierarchical model to smooth multiple functional data with the assumptions of the same underlying Gaussian process distribution, a Gaussian process prior for the mean function,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-02-06 Jingjing Yang , Peng Ren

The mixed-logit model is a flexible tool in transportation choice analysis, which provides valuable insights into inter and intra-individual behavioural heterogeneity. However, applications of mixed-logit models are limited by the high…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Shanshan Xie , Tim Hillel , Ying Jin

Databases are widespread, yet extracting relevant data can be difficult. Without substantial domain knowledge, multivariate search queries often return sparse or uninformative results. This paper introduces an approach for searching…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Feras Saad , Leonardo Casarsa , Vikash Mansinghka

It is now widely accepted that knowledge can be acquired from networks by clustering their vertices according to connection profiles. Many methods have been proposed and in this paper we concentrate on the Stochastic Block Model (SBM). The…

Applications · Statistics 2010-07-27 Pierre Latouche , Etienne Birmele , Christophe Ambroise

This paper considers sparse linear discriminant analysis of high-dimensional data. In contrast to the existing methods which are based on separate estimation of the precision matrix $\O$ and the difference $\de$ of the mean vectors, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-19 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu

We present a new approach for inference in Bayesian networks, which is mainly based on partial differentiation. According to this approach, one compiles a Bayesian network into a multivariate polynomial and then computes the partial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Adnan Darwiche

The discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) is a challenging task that involves both theoretical and empirical methods. Machine learning approaches have been developed and used to solve this problem; however, it is important to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-09 Kalpesh More , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Differential networks (DN) are important tools for modeling the changes in conditional dependencies between multiple samples. A Bayesian approach for estimating DNs, from the classical viewpoint, is introduced with a computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Jarod Smith , Mohammad Arashi , Andriette Bekker

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

Parameter shift rules (PSRs) are key techniques for efficient gradient estimation in variational quantum eigensolvers (VQEs). In this paper, we propose its Bayesian variant, where Gaussian processes with appropriate kernels are used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Samuele Pedrielli , Christopher J. Anders , Lena Funcke , Karl Jansen , Kim A. Nicoli , Shinichi Nakajima

The Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood (BSL) method is a widely-used tool for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. This method assumes that some summary statistics are normally distributed, which can be incorrect in many applications. We propose…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-16 Nhat-Minh Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Christopher Drovandi , David Nott

Speculative optimisation relies on the estimation of the probabilities that certain properties of the control flow are fulfilled. Concrete or estimated branch probabilities can be used for searching and constructing advantageous speculative…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2013-07-18 Alessandra Di Pierro , Herbert Wiklicky

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Checking how well a fitted model explains the data is one of the most fundamental parts of a Bayesian data analysis. However, existing model checking methods suffer from trade-offs between being well-calibrated, automated, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Jiawei Li , Jonathan H. Huggins

Acquiring a substantial number of data points for training accurate machine learning (ML) models is a big challenge in scientific fields where data collection is resource-intensive. Here, we propose a novel approach for constructing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 M. R. Mahani , Igor A. Nechepurenko , Yasmin Rahimof , Andreas Wicht

In linear regression models, fusion of coefficients is used to identify predictors having similar relationships with a response. This is called variable fusion. This paper presents a novel variable fusion method in terms of Bayesian linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Shengyi Wu , Kaito Shimamura , Kohei Yoshikawa , Kazuaki Murayama , Shuichi Kawano

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

In this paper we develop a Bayesian procedure for estimating multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) using state space models. A multiplicative model based on inverted Wishart and multivariate singular beta distributions is proposed for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

We introduce a deterministic variational formulation for training Bayesian last layer neural networks. This yields a sampling-free, single-pass model and loss that effectively improves uncertainty estimation. Our variational Bayesian last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 James Harrison , John Willes , Jasper Snoek