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Probability estimation of tree topologies is one of the fundamental tasks in phylogenetic inference. The recently proposed subsplit Bayesian networks (SBNs) provide a powerful probabilistic graphical model for tree topology probability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Tianyu Xie , Musu Yuan , Minghua Deng , Cheng Zhang

Previous work on sensitivity analysis in Bayesian networks has focused on single parameters, where the goal is to understand the sensitivity of queries to single parameter changes, and to identify single parameter changes that would enforce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Hei Chan , Adnan Darwiche

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

Data point selection (DPS) is becoming a critical topic in deep learning due to the ease of acquiring uncurated training data compared to the difficulty of obtaining curated or processed data. Existing approaches to DPS are predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Xinnuo Xu , Minyoung Kim , Royson Lee , Brais Martinez , Timothy Hospedales

Modeling non-linear temporal trajectories is of fundamental interest in many application areas, such as in longitudinal microbiome analysis. Many existing methods focus on estimating mean trajectories, but it is also often of value to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Lingjing Jiang , Yuan Zhong , Chris Elrod , Loki Natarajan , Rob Knight , Wesley K. Thompson

We present SDA-Bayes, a framework for (S)treaming, (D)istributed, (A)synchronous computation of a Bayesian posterior. The framework makes streaming updates to the estimated posterior according to a user-specified approximation batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-22 Tamara Broderick , Nicholas Boyd , Andre Wibisono , Ashia C. Wilson , Michael I. Jordan

This paper focuses on variable selection for a partially linear single-index varying-coefficient model. A regularized variable selection procedure by combining basis function approximations with SCAD penalty is proposed. It can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Lijuan Han , Liugen Xue , Junshan Xie

Both linear mixed models (LMMs) and sparse regression models are widely used in genetics applications, including, recently, polygenic modeling in genome-wide association studies. These two approaches make very different assumptions, so are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-16 Xiang Zhou , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

We propose a scalable variational Bayes method for statistical inference for a single or low-dimensional subset of the coordinates of a high-dimensional parameter in sparse linear regression. Our approach relies on assigning a mean-field…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Ismaël Castillo , Alice L'Huillier , Kolyan Ray , Luke Travis

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

Consider the setting where there are B>1 candidate statistical models, and one is interested in model selection. Two common approaches to solve this problem are to select a single model or to combine the candidate models through model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Qingying Zong , Jonathan R. Bradley

Analysis of spatial multivariate data, i.e., measurements at irregularly-spaced locations, is a challenging topic in visualization and statistics alike. Such data are integral to many domains, e.g., indicators of valuable minerals are…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Nikolaus Piccolotto , Markus Bögl , Christoph Muehlmann , Klaus Nordhausen , Peter Filzmoser , Silvia Miksch

Dimensionality reduction is crucial for analyzing large-scale single-cell RNA-seq data. Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) offer an interpretable dimensionality reduction method, but current scalable models lack effectiveness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-08 Sarah Zhao , Aditya Ravuri , Vidhi Lalchand , Neil D. Lawrence

Bayesian probabilistic programming languages (BPPLs) let users denote statistical models as code while the interpreter infers the posterior distribution. The semantics of BPPLs are usually mathematically complex and unable to reason about…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Shing Hin Ho , Nicolas Wu , Azalea Raad

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now an established method for conducting approximate Bayesian inference in models where, due to the intractability of the likelihood function, exact Bayesian approaches are either infeasible or…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-12 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi

Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

Multistage ranking models, including the popular Plackett-Luce distribution (PL), rely on the assumption that the ranking process is performed sequentially, by assigning the positions from the top to the bottom one (forward order). A recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Cristina Mollica , Luca Tardella

This paper reviews background and examples of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS), and develops details in a subset of BPS mixture models. BPS expands on standard Bayesian model uncertainty analysis for model mixing to provide a broader…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Matthew C. Johnson , Mike West