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Mean-variance portfolio decisions that combine prediction and optimisation have been shown to have poor empirical performance. Here, we consider the performance of various shrinkage methods by their efficient frontiers under different…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Andrew Paskaramoorthy , Tim Gebbie , Terence van Zyl

Data-fusion involves the integration of multiple related datasets. The statistical file-matching problem is a canonical data-fusion problem in multivariate analysis, where the objective is to characterise the joint distribution of a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Recently, a surrogate model was proposed that employs a factorization machine to approximate the underlying input-output mapping of the original system, with quantum annealing used to optimize the resulting surrogate function. Inspired by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Anbang Wang , Dunbo Cai , Yu Zhang , Yangqing Huang , Xiangyang Feng , Zhihong Zhang

Multi-group covariance estimation for matrix-variate data with small within group sample sizes is a key part of many data analysis tasks in modern applications. To obtain accurate group-specific covariance estimates, shrinkage estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Elizabeth Bersson , Peter D. Hoff

We propose a distributionally robust formulation for simultaneously estimating the covariance matrix and the precision matrix of a random vector.The proposed model minimizes the worst-case weighted sum of the Frobenius loss of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Renjie Chen , Viet Anh Nguyen , Huifu Xu

Statistical inference for sparse covariance matrices is crucial to reveal dependence structure of large multivariate data sets, but lacks scalable and theoretically supported Bayesian methods. In this paper, we propose beta-mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Kyoungjae Lee , Seongil Jo , Jaeyong Lee

When developing risk prediction models, shrinkage methods are recommended, especially when the sample size is limited. Several earlier studies have shown that the shrinkage of model coefficients can reduce overfitting of the prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-29 Ben Van Calster , Maarten van Smeden , Ewout W. Steyerberg

Successful forecasting models strike a balance between parsimony and flexibility. This is often achieved by employing suitable shrinkage priors that penalize model complexity but also reward model fit. In this note, we modify the stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

A useful sampling-reconstruction model should be stable with respect to different kind of small perturbations, regardless whether they result from jitter, measurement errors, or simply from a small change in the model assumptions. In this…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-31 E. costa-Reyes , A. Aldroubi , I. Krishtal

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

The determination of the covariance matrix and its inverse, the precision matrix, is critical in the statistical analysis of cosmological measurements. The covariance matrix is typically estimated with a limited number of simulations at…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Marnix J. Looijmans , Mike Shengbo Wang , Florian Beutler

Portfolio managers faced with limited sample sizes must use factor models to estimate the covariance matrix of a high-dimensional returns vector. For the simplest one-factor market model, success rests on the quality of the estimated…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-14 Hubeyb Gurdogan , Alec Kercheval

Recovering a low-rank signal matrix from its noisy observation, commonly known as matrix denoising, is a fundamental inverse problem in statistical signal processing. Matrix denoising methods are generally based on shrinkage or thresholding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Santosh Kumar Yadav , Rohit Sinha , Prabin Kumar Bora

Factor Analysis is a popular method for modeling dependence in multivariate data. However, determining the number of factors and obtaining a sparse orientation of the loadings are still major challenges. In this paper, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Henrique Bolfarine , Carlos M. Carvalho , Hedibert F. Lopes , Jared S. Murray

Modeling and forecasting covariance matrices of asset returns play a crucial role in finance. The availability of high frequency intraday data enables the modeling of the realized covariance matrix directly. However, most models in the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-15 Keren Shen , Jianfeng Yao , Wai Keung Li

This paper considers a restriction to non-negative matrix factorization in which at least one matrix factor is stochastic. That is, the elements of the matrix factors are non-negative and the columns of one matrix factor sum to 1. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-20 Christopher Adams

In this paper, we measure systematic risk with a new nonparametric factor model, the neural network factor model. The suitable factors for systematic risk can be naturally found by inserting daily returns on a wide range of assets into the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-14 Jeonggyu Huh

Frailty models are essential tools in survival analysis for addressing unobserved heterogeneity and random effects in the data. These models incorporate a random effect, the frailty, which is assumed to impact the hazard rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Jorge Yslas

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng
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