English

Phase-type frailty models: A flexible approach to modeling unobserved heterogeneity in survival analysis

Statistics Theory 2025-04-01 v2 Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

Frailty models are essential tools in survival analysis for addressing unobserved heterogeneity and random effects in the data. These models incorporate a random effect, the frailty, which is assumed to impact the hazard rate multiplicatively. In this paper, we introduce a novel class of frailty models in both univariate and multivariate settings, using phase-type distributions as the underlying frailty specification. We investigate the properties of these phase-type frailty models and develop expectation-maximization algorithms for their maximum-likelihood estimation. In particular, we show that the resulting model shares similarities with the Gamma frailty model, has closed-form expressions for its functionals, and can approximate any other frailty model. Through a series of simulated and real-life numerical examples, we demonstrate the effectiveness and versatility of the proposed models in addressing unobserved heterogeneity in survival analysis.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2103.13142,
  title  = {Phase-type frailty models: A flexible approach to modeling unobserved heterogeneity in survival analysis},
  author = {Jorge Yslas},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2103.13142},
  year   = {2025}
}