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In this paper, we give a general time-varying parameter model, where the multidimensional parameter possibly includes jumps. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated value over time of the parameter process $\Theta = T^{-1}…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-22 Yoann Potiron , Per Mykland

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We prove the asymptotic mixed normality of the least absolute deviation (LAD) estimator for a locally $\alpha$-stable stochastic differential equation (SDE) observed at high frequency, where $\alpha\in(0,2)$. We investigate both ergodic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Oleksii M. Kulyk , Hiroki Masuda

Systems with stochastic time delay between the input and output present a number of unique challenges. Time domain noise leads to irregular alignments, obfuscates relationships and attenuates inferred coefficients. To handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Juan Camilo Orduz , Aaron Pickering

We develop a novel asymptotic theory for local polynomial extremum estimators of time-varying parameters in a broad class of nonlinear time series models. We show the proposed estimators are consistent and follow normal distributions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Dennis Kristensen , Young Jun Lee

We establish the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property for estimating a multidimensional parameter in the drift of a system of $N$ interacting particles observed over a fixed time horizon in a mean-field regime $N \rightarrow \infty$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Laetitia Della Maestra , Marc Hoffmann

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

Let (S_1,S_2)=(R \cos(\Theta), R \sin (\Theta)) be a bivariate random vector with associated random radius R which has distribution function $F$ being further independent of the random angle \Theta. In this paper we investigate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

A local-variable model yielding the statistics from the singlet state is presented for the case of inefficient detectors and/or lowered visibility. It has independent errors and the highest efficiency at perfect visibility is 77.80%, while…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-16 Jan-Åke Larsson

This paper develops asymptotic theory of integrals of empirical quantile functions with respect to random weight functions, which is an extension of classical $L$-statistics. They appear when sample trimming or Winsorization is applied to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Tetsuya Kaji

We consider signal source localization from range-difference measurements. First, we give some readily-checked conditions on measurement noises and sensor deployment to guarantee the asymptotic identifiability of the model and show the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Guangyang Zeng , Biqiang Mu , Ling Shi , Jiming Chen , Junfeng Wu

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of some U-statistics whose entries are functions of empirical moments computed from non-overlapping consecutive blocks of an underlying weakly dependent process. The length of these blocks…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Herold G. Dehling , Davide Giraudo , Sara K. Schmidt

New explicit conditions of asymptotic and exponential stability are obtained for the scalar nonautonomous linear delay differential equation $$ \dot{x}(t)+\sum_{k=1}^m a_k(t)x(h_k(t))=0 $$ with measurable delays and coefficients. These…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Leonid Berezansky , Elena Braverman

Consider semiparametric models that display local asymptotic exponentiality (Ibragimov and Has'minskii (1981)), an asymptotic property of the likelihood associated with discontinuities of densities. Our interest goes to estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Bas Kleijn , Bartek Knapik

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca

Asymptotic optimality is a key theoretical property in model averaging. Due to technical difficulties, existing studies rely on restricted weight sets or the assumption that there is no true model with fixed dimensions in the candidate set.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Wenchao Xu , Xinyu Zhang

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

The paper studies large sample asymptotic properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the parameter of a continuous time Markov chain, observed in white noise. Using the method of weak convergence of likelihoods due to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Pavel Chigansky

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson