English

Modelling stochastic time delay for regression analysis

Methodology 2021-11-15 v1

Abstract

Systems with stochastic time delay between the input and output present a number of unique challenges. Time domain noise leads to irregular alignments, obfuscates relationships and attenuates inferred coefficients. To handle these challenges, we introduce a maximum likelihood regression model that regards stochastic time delay as an "error" in the time domain. For a certain subset of problems, by modelling both prediction and time errors it is possible to outperform traditional models. Through a simulated experiment of a univariate problem, we demonstrate results that significantly improve upon Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2111.06403,
  title  = {Modelling stochastic time delay for regression analysis},
  author = {Juan Camilo Orduz and Aaron Pickering},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2111.06403},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

GitHub repository https://github.com/aaron1rcl/tvs_regression

R2 v1 2026-06-24T07:35:32.814Z