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We study asymptotic behavior of one-step weighted $M$-estimators based on samples from arrays of not necessarily identically distributed random variables and representing explicit approximations to the corresponding consistent weighted…
A system of linear differential equations with oscillatory decreasing coefficients is considered. The coefficients has the form $t^{-\alpha}a(t)$,~$\alpha>0$, where $a(t)$ is trigonometric polynomial with an arbitrary set of frequencies.…
This paper generalizes recent proposals of density forecasting models and it develops theory for this class of models. In density forecasting, the density of observations is estimated in regions where the density is not observed.…
We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…
We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…
In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…
If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…
We study the problem of estimating time-varying coefficients in ordinary differential equations. Current theory only applies to the case when the associated state variables are observed without measurement errors as presented in…
We study the large time behavior of solutions to a non-local diffusion equation, $u_t=J*u-u$ with $J$ smooth, radially symmetric and compactly supported, posed in $\mathbb{R}_+$ with zero Dirichlet boundary conditions. In sets of the form…
A procedure for asymptotic bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates of generic estimands is developed. The estimator is realized as a plug-in estimator, where the parameter maximizes the penalized likelihood with a penalty function…
In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…
In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…
Let $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ be a Markov chain with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=x \in \mathbb X$ and let $f$ be a real function defined on $\mathbb X$. Set $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^{n} f(X_k)$, $n\geqslant 1$. For any $y \in…
In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…
We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable L\'evy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate…
Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…
We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…
Consider the following class of conformable time-fractional stochastic equation $$T_{\alpha,t}^a u(x,t)=\lambda\sigma(u(x,t))\dot{W}_t,\,\,\,\,x\in\mathbb{R},\,t\in[a,\infty), \,\,0<\alpha<1,$$ with a non-random initial condition…
We consider a time series $X=\{X_k, k\in\mathbb{Z}\}$ with memory parameter $d\in\mathbb{R}$. This time series is either stationary or can be made stationary after differencing a finite number of times. We study the "Local Whittle Wavelet…
We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…