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The third moment variation of a financial asset return process is defined by the quadratic covariation between the return and square return processes. The skew and fat tail risk of an underlying asset can be hedged using a third moment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

In order to estimate the conditional risk of a portfolio's return, two strategies can be advocated. A multivariate strategy requires estimating a dynamic model for the vector of risk factors, which is often challenging, when at all…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-12 Christian Francq , Jean-Michel Zakoian

We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Duality for robust hedging with proportional transaction costs of path dependent European options is obtained in a discrete time financial market with one risky asset. Investor's portfolio consists of a dynamically traded stock and a static…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-30 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

We reexamine the problem of having nonconservative equations of motion arise from the use of a variational principle. In particular, a formalism is developed that allows the inclusion of fractional derivatives. This is done within the…

Classical Physics · Physics 2008-11-26 David W. Dreisigmeyer , Peter M. Young

Stochastic portfolio theory aims at finding relative arbitrages, i.e. trading strategies which outperform the market with probability one. Functionally generated portfolios, which are deterministic functions of the market weights, are an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Patrick Mijatovic

We consider a semimartingale market model when the underlying diffusion has a singular volatility matrix and compute the hedging portfolio for a given payoff function. Recently, the representation problem for such degenerate diffusions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Mine Caglar , Ihsan Demirel , Ali Suleyman Ustunel

We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Matteo Marsili , Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We study a class of distribution-steering problems from a variational point of view. Under some differentiability assumptions, we derive necessary conditions for optimal Markov policies in the spirit of the Lagrange multiplier approach. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Alberto Domínguez Corella , David González-Sánchez

We model investor heterogeneity using different required returns on an investment and evaluate the impact on the valuation of an investment. By assuming no disagreement on the cash flows, we emphasize how risk preferences in particular, but…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-13 Carol Alexander , Xi Chen , Charles Ward

Agent-based models help explain stock price dynamics as emergent phenomena driven by interacting investors. In this modeling tradition, investor behavior has typically been captured by two distinct mechanisms -- learning and heterogeneous…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

This work studies the dynamic risk management of the risk-neutral value of the potential credit losses on a portfolio of derivatives. Sensitivities-based hedging of such liability is sub-optimal because of bid-ask costs, pricing models…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-22 Roberto Daluiso , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Edoardo Vittori

This thesis develops a mathematical framework for the analysis of continuous-time trading strategies which, in contrast to the classical setting of continuous-time finance, does not rely on stochastic integrals or other probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Candia Riga

Diversification return is an incremental return earned by a rebalanced portfolio of assets. The diversification return of a rebalanced portfolio is often incorrectly ascribed to a reduction in variance. We argue that the underlying source…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Scott Willenbrock

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando

We propose a method for extending a given asset pricing formula to account for two additional sources of risk: the risk associated with future changes in market--calibrated parameters and the remaining risk associated with idiosyncratic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 T. R. Hurd

We present a non-probabilistic, pathwise approach to continuous-time finance based on causal functional calculus. We introduce a definition of self-financing, free from any integration concept and show that the value of a self-financing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Henry Chiu , Rama Cont

A recently proposed stochastic hidden variable model for quantum mechanics has been claimed to involve "retrocausality" due to the appearance of equations of motion with future-time boundary conditions. We formulate an equivalent system of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-05 William S. DeWitt , Benjamin H. Feintzeig

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui