English

Dynamical Optimization Theory of a Diversified Portfolio

Statistical Mechanics 2015-06-25 v2 Disordered Systems and Neural Networks Portfolio Management

Abstract

We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random walk with identical drift and dispersion. The rules of our model naturally give rise to power law tails in the distribution of capital fractions invested in different stocks. The exponent of this scale free distribution is calculated in both discrete and continuous time formalism. It is demonstrated that the dynamical redistribution strategy results in a larger typical growth rate of the capital than a static ``buy-and-hold'' strategy. In the large N limit the typical growth rate is shown to asymptotically approach that of the expectation value of the stock price. The finite dimensional variant of the model is shown to describe the partition function of directed polymers in random media.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.cond-mat/9801239,
  title  = {Dynamical Optimization Theory of a Diversified Portfolio},
  author = {Matteo Marsili and Sergei Maslov and Yi-Cheng Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:cond-mat/9801239},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

9 pages, 2 figures, accepted for publication in Physica A; Figure captions and PS-files of two figues are added

R2 v1 2026-07-22T12:01:53.190Z