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In a (two-type) Wright-Fisher diffusion with directional selection and two-way mutation, let $x$ denote today's frequency of the beneficial type, and given $x$, let $h(x)$ be the probability that, among all individuals of today's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-10 Ute Lenz , Sandra Kluth , Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

We consider the Moran process with two populations competing under an iterated Prisoners' Dilemma in the presence of mutation, and concentrate on the case where there are multiple Evolutionarily Stable Strategies. We perform a complete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Lee DeVille , Meghan Galiardi

The goal of this article is to study the limit of the empirical distribution induced by a mutation-selection multi-allelic Moran model, whose dynamic is given by a continuous-time irreducible Markov chain. The rate matrix driving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Bertrand Cloez , Josué Corujo

We consider a Moran-type model of cultural evolution, which describes how traits emerge, are transmitted, and get lost in populations. Our analysis focuses on the underlying cultural genealogies; they were first described by Aguilar and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-04 Joe Yuichiro Wakano , Hisashi Ohtsuki , Yutaka Kobayashi , Ellen Baake

We reconsider the Moran model in continuous time with population size $N$, two allelic types, and selection. We introduce a new particle representation, which we call the labelled Moran model, and which has the same distribution of type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-09 Sandra Kluth , Ellen Baake

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

In population genetics, extant samples are usually used for inference of past population genetic forces. With the Kingman coalescent and the backward diffusion equation, inference of the marginal likelihood proceeds from an extant sample…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer

We review recent progress on ancestral processes related to mutation-selection models, both in the deterministic and the stochastic setting. We mainly rely on two concepts, namely, the killed ancestral selection graph and the pruned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt

We study the genealogical distance of two randomly chosen individuals in a population that evolves according to a two type Moran model with mutation and selection. We prove that this distance is stochastically smaller than the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Max Grieshammer

We calculate the probability distribution of repetitions of ancestors in a genealogical tree for simple neutral models of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. Each ancestor at generation g in the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 B. Derrida , S. C. Manrubia , D. H. Zanette

In this article, a biallelic reversible mutation model with linear and quadratic selection is analyzed. The approach reconnects to one proposed by Kimura ( Possibility of extensive neutral evolution under stabilizing selection with special…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-30 Claus Vogl , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

The Moran model with recombination is considered, which describes the evolution of the genetic composition of a population under recombination and resampling. There are $n$ sites (or loci), a finite number of letters (or alleles) at every…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-01 Mareike Esser , Sebastian Probst , Ellen Baake

In a deterministic or random tree, a notion of ancestral diversity can be defined as follows. Sample independently $n$ groups of $k$ leaves and count the number $N_n(k)$ of distinct most recent common ancestors of each of the groups. As $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Bénédicte Haas , Grégory Miermont

Coalescent processes, including mutation, are derived from Moran type population models admitting large offspring numbers. Including mutation in the coalescent process allows for quantifying the turnover of alleles by computing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Bjarki Eldon

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

$\Lambda$-Wright--Fisher processes provide a robust framework to describe the type-frequency evolution of an infinite neutral population. We add a polynomial drift to the corresponding stochastic differential equation to incorporate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel , Emmanuel Schertzer

The deterministic selection-recombination equation describes the evolution of the genetic type composition of a population under selection and recombination in a law of large numbers regime. So far, an explicit solution has seemed out of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Frederic Alberti

In this paper we consider the two-type Moran model with $N$ individuals. Each individual is assigned a resampling rate, drawn independently from a probability distribution ${\mathbb P}$ on ${\mathbb R}_+$, and a type, either $1$ or $0$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-06 Siva Athreya , Frank den Hollander , Adrian Röllin