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Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

Given a gene-tree labeled topology $G$ and a species tree $S$, the "ancestral configurations" at an internal node $k$ of $S$ represent the combinatorially different sets of gene lineages that can be present at $k$ when all possible…

Real-life statistical samples are often plagued by selection bias, which complicates drawing conclusions about the general population. When learning causal relationships between the variables is of interest, the sample may be assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Angelos P. Armen , Robin J. Evans

Evolution by Natural Selection is a process by which progeny inherit some properties from their progenitors with small variation. These properties are subject to Natural Selection and are called adaptive traits and carriers of the latter…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Gonzalo Galiano , Yosef Cohen

We consider the mutation--selection differential equation with pairwise interaction (or, equivalently, the diploid mutation--selection equation) and establish the corresponding ancestral process, which is a random tree and a variant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

Community assembly is studied using individual-based multispecies models. The models have stochastic population dynamics with mutation, migration, and extinction of species. Mutants appear as a result of mutation of the resident species,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-18 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov

We study a model of a branching process subject to selection, modeled by giving each family an individual fitness acting as a branching rate, and mutation, modeled by resampling the fitness of a proportion of offspring in each generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Peter Mörters

For each $n$, let $A_n=(\sigma_{ij})$ be an $n\times n$ deterministic matrix and let $X_n=(X_{ij})$ be an $n\times n$ random matrix with i.i.d. centered entries of unit variance. We study the asymptotic behavior of the empirical spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Nicholas A. Cook , Walid Hachem , Jamal Najim , David Renfrew

We study in this paper a compartmental SIR model for a population distributed in a bounded domain D of $\mathbb{R}^d$, d= 1, 2, or 3. We describe a spatial model for the spread of a disease on a grid of D. We prove two laws of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 M. N'zi , E. Pardoux , T. Yeo

We consider a one-dimensional dyadic branching Brownian motion on $\mathbb{R}$ with positive drift $\beta \in (0,1)$, branching rate $1/2$, reflected at $0$ and killed at a boundary $L > 0$. The killing boundary $L$ is chosen so that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Florin Boenkost , Julie Tourniaire

A large offspring number diploid biparental multilocus population model of Moran type is our object of study. At each timestep, a pair of diploid individuals drawn uniformly at random contribute offspring to the population. The number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-31 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon

While Neutral Theory famously describes the number of discrete genetic differences in populations, we consider the number of genetic backgrounds under which such differences are observed - setting limits to the generalizability of their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-21 Andre F. Ribeiro

In this article, we consider several models of random walks in one or several dimensions, additionally allowing, at any unit of time, a reset (or "catastrophe") of the walk with probability $q$. We establish the distribution of the final…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Rafik Aguech , Asma Althagafi , Cyril Banderier

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

We consider a integro-differential nonlinear model that describes the evolution of a population structured by a quantitative trait. The interactions between traits occur from competition for resources whose concentrations depend on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Pierre-Emmanuel Jabin

We consider an individual based model of phenotypic evolution in hermaphroditic populations which includes random and assortative mating of individuals. By increasing the number of individuals to infinity we obtain a nonlinear transport…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Ryszard Rudnicki , Paweł Zwoleński

The "Money Exchange Model" is a type of agent-based simulation model used to study how wealth distribution and inequality evolve through monetary exchanges between individuals. The primary focus of this model is to identify the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Hironobu Sakagawa

The well known Erdos-Turan law states that the logarithm of an order of a random permutation is asymptotically normally distributed. The aim of this work is to estimate convergence rate in this theorem and also to prove analogous result for…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-01-14 Vytas Zacharovas

We establish central limit theorems for the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method in discrete-time, finite-horizon stochastic optimal control. Our analysis is based on an abstract limit theorem for stochastic backward recursions, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Johannes Milz , Alexander Shapiro
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