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Deep learning architectures enhanced with human mobility data have been shown to improve the accuracy of short-term crime prediction models trained with historical crime data. However, human mobility data may be scarce in some regions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Jiahui Wu , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy, and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behavior, such as retaliation. Serious crimes may also be presaged by minor crimes of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Alex Reinhart , Joel Greenhouse

Objectives: We introduce a new method for reducing crime in hot spots and across cities through ridge estimation. In doing so, our goal is to explore the application of density ridges to hot spots and patrol optimization, and to contribute…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-16 Ben Moews , Jaime R. Argueta , Antonia Gieschen

Improving road safety is hugely important with the number of deaths on the world's roads remaining unacceptably high; an estimated 1.35 million people die each year (WHO, 2020). Current practice for treating collision hotspots is almost…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 Nicola Hewett , Andrew Golightly , Lee Fawcett , Neil Thorpe

For a given region, we have a dataset composed of car theft locations along with a linked dataset of recovery locations which, due to partial recovery, is a relatively small subset of the set of theft locations. For an investigator seeking…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-07 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E Gelfand , Jorge Mateu

The crime forecasting is an important problem as it greatly contributes to urban safety. Typically, the goal of the problem is to predict different types of crimes for each geographical region (like a neighborhood or censor tract) in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Chenyu Wang , Zongyu Lin , Xiaochen Yang , Jiao Sun , Mingxuan Yue , Cyrus Shahabi

The location-based social network, Foursquare, reflects the human activities of a city. The mobility dynamics inferred from Foursquare helps us understanding urban social events like crime In this paper, we propose a directed graph from the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Shakila Khan Rumi , Flora D. Salim

Nowadays, 23% of the world population lives in multi-million cities. In these metropolises, criminal activity is much higher and violent than in either small cities or rural areas. Thus, understanding what factors influence urban crime in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Marco De Nadai , Yanyan Xu , Emmanuel Letouzé , Marta C. González , Bruno Lepri

Complex networks are nowadays employed in several applications. Modeling urban street networks is one of them, and in particular to analyze criminal aspects of a city. Several research groups have focused on such application, but until now,…

This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to perform inference regarding the size of hidden populations at analytical region using reported statistics. To do so, we propose a specification taking into account one-sided error components and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-14 Alejandro Puerta , Andrés Ramírez-Hassan

The object of this paper is to develop a statistical approach to criminal linkage analysis that discovers and groups crime events that share a common offender and prioritizes suspects for further investigation. Bayes factors are used to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-10 Michael D. Porter

California experienced an increase in violent criminality during the last decade, largely driven by a surge in aggravated assaults. To address this challenge, accurate and timely forecasts of criminal activity may help state authorities…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Lucas Hahn

Crime has been previously explained by social characteristics of the residential population and, as stipulated by crime pattern theory, might also be linked to human movements of non-residential visitors. Yet a full empirical validation of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Cristina Kadar , Stefan Feuerriegel , Anastasios Noulas , Cecilia Mascolo

Crime is an unlawful act that carries legal repercussions. Bangladesh has a high crime rate due to poverty, population growth, and many other socio-economic issues. For law enforcement agencies, understanding crime patterns is essential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Faisal Tareque Shohan , Abu Ubaida Akash , Muhammad Ibrahim , Mohammad Shafiul Alam

Though crime is linked to different socio-economic factors, it exhibits remarkable regularities regardless of cities' particularities. In this chapter, we consider two fundamental regularities in crime regarding two essential aspects of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-14 Marcos Oliveira , Ronaldo Menezes

Over the past few decades, crime and delinquency rates have increased drastically in many countries; nevertheless, it is important to note that crime trends can differ significantly by geographic region. This study's primary goal was to use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-03 H. A. Kebede , M. M. Assen , M. A. Sharew

Opioid overdose is a growing public health crisis in the United States. This crisis, recognized as "opioid epidemic," has widespread societal consequences including the degradation of health, and the increase in crime rates and family…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Ali Mert Ertugrul , Yu-Ru Lin , Tugba Taskaya-Temizel

A major public health concern in the United States (US) is gun-related deaths. The number of gun injuries largely varies spatially because of county-wise heterogeneity of race, sex, age, and income distributions. But still, a major…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Debjoy Thakur , Lingyuan Zhao , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

The transport literature is dense regarding short-term traffic predictions, up to the scale of 1 hour, yet less dense for long-term traffic predictions. The transport literature is also sparse when it comes to city-scale traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Julien Monteil , Anton Dekusar , Claudio Gambella , Yassine Lassoued , Martin Mevissen

In the domain of time series analysis, particularly in event detection tasks, current methodologies predominantly rely on segmentation-based approaches, which predict the class label for each individual timesteps and use the changepoints of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Clark Peng , Tolga Dinçer