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The Burning Index (BI) produced daily by the United States government's National Fire Danger Rating System is commonly used in forecasting the hazard of wildfire activity in the United States. However, recent evaluations have shown the BI…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-04 Haiyong Xu , Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Reducing traffic accidents is an important public safety challenge, therefore, accident analysis and prediction has been a topic of much research over the past few decades. Using small-scale datasets with limited coverage, being dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Sobhan Moosavi , Mohammad Hossein Samavatian , Srinivasan Parthasarathy , Radu Teodorescu , Rajiv Ramnath

Malicious attacks, malware, and ransomware families pose critical security issues to cybersecurity, and it may cause catastrophic damages to computer systems, data centers, web, and mobile applications across various industries and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Mohammad Masum , Md Jobair Hossain Faruk , Hossain Shahriar , Kai Qian , Dan Lo , Muhaiminul Islam Adnan

In crowded scenes, detection and localization of abnormal behaviors is challenging in that high-density people make object segmentation and tracking extremely difficult. We associate the optical flows of multiple frames to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Xinfeng Zhang , Su Yang , Xinjian Zhang , Weishan Zhang , Jiulong Zhang

Predictive policing systems are increasingly used to determine how to allocate police across a city in order to best prevent crime. Discovered crime data (e.g., arrest counts) are used to help update the model, and the process is repeated.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Danielle Ensign , Sorelle A. Friedler , Scott Neville , Carlos Scheidegger , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

Car-hailing services have become a prominent data source for urban traffic studies. Extracting useful information from car-hailing trace data is essential for effective traffic management, while discrepancies between car-hailing vehicles…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-24 Jiannan Mao , Lan Liu , Hao Huang , Weike Lu , Kaiyu Yang , Tianli Tang , Haotian Shi

Generally, Lasso, Adaptive Lasso, and SCAD are standard approaches in variable selection in the presence of a large number of predictors. In recent years, during intensity function estimation for spatial point processes with a diverging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Debjoy Thakur , Soumendra N. Lahiri

Trajectory prediction in autonomous driving has traditionally been studied from a model-centric perspective. However, existing datasets exhibit a strong long-tail distribution in scenario density, where common low-density cases dominate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Ruining Yang , Yi Xu , Yun Fu , Lili Su

The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

In multiple domains such as malware detection, automated driving systems, or fraud detection, classification algorithms are susceptible to being attacked by malicious agents willing to perturb the value of instance covariates to pursue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Victor Gallego , Roi Naveiro , Alberto Redondo , David Rios Insua , Fabrizio Ruggeri

Urban traffic safety is a pressing concern in modern transportation systems, especially in rapidly growing metropolitan areas where increased traffic congestion, complex road networks, and diverse driving behaviors exacerbate the risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-18 Xinyu Li , Dayong , Wu , Xinyue Ye , Quan Sun

We develop a general model for finding the optimal penal strategy based on the behavioral traits of the offenders. We focus on how the discount rate (level of time discounting) affects criminal propensity on the individual level, and how…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-02 Yuqing Wang , Yan Ru Pei

In the last 20 years, terrorism has led to hundreds of thousands of deaths and massive economic, political, and humanitarian crises in several regions of the world. Using real-world data on attacks occurred in Afghanistan and Iraq from 2001…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Gian Maria Campedelli , Mihovil Bartulovic , Kathleen M. Carley

In detecting malicious websites, a common approach is the use of blacklists which are not exhaustive in themselves and are unable to generalize to new malicious sites. Detecting newly encountered malicious websites automatically will help…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Adebayo Oshingbesan , Courage Ekoh , Chukwuemeka Okobi , Aime Munezero , Kagame Richard

Objectives: We study interpretable recidivism prediction using machine learning (ML) models and analyze performance in terms of prediction ability, sparsity, and fairness. Unlike previous works, this study trains interpretable models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Caroline Wang , Bin Han , Bhrij Patel , Cynthia Rudin

Scale-adjusted metrics (SAMs) are a significant achievement of the urban scaling hypothesis. SAMs remove the inherent biases of per capita measures computed in the absence of isometric allometries. However, this approach is limited to urban…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-27 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Quentin S. Hanley , Dan Lewis

Many prediction problems can be phrased as inferences over local neighborhoods of graphs. The graph represents the interaction between entities, and the neighborhood of each entity contains information that allows the inferences or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Rakshit Agrawal , Luca de Alfaro , Vassilis Polychronopoulos

Neighborhoods populated by amenities--such as restaurants, cafes, and libraries--are considered to be a key property of desirable cities. Yet, despite the global enthusiasm for amenity-rich neighborhoods, little is known about the empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-21 César A. Hidalgo , Elisa E. Castañer

This paper focuses on modeling violent crime rates against population over the years 1960-2014 for the United States via cubic spline based method. We propose a new min/max algorithm on knots detection and estimation for cubic spline…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-19 Eric Golinko , Lianfen Qian

Unveiling the relationships between crime and socioeconomic factors is crucial for modeling and preventing these illegal activities. Recently, a significant advance has been made in understanding the influence of urban metrics on the levels…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-11 Luiz G. A. Alves , Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Francisco A. Rodrigues
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