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We consider the problem of estimating the incidence of residential burglaries that occur over a well-defined period of time within the 10 most populous cities in North Carolina. Our analysis typifies some of the general issues that arise in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-14 Robert Brame , Michael G. Turner , Raymond Paternoster

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

Urban transportation and land use models have used theory and statistical modeling methods to develop model systems that are useful in planning applications. Machine learning methods have been considered too 'black box', lacking…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-01 Paul Waddell , Arezoo Besharati-Zadeh

There is increasing regulatory interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-02-19 Christopher Jung , Sampath Kannan , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

[Context] Researchers analyze underground forums to study abuse and cybercrime activities. Due to the size of the forums and the domain expertise required to identify criminal discussions, most approaches employ supervised machine learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Giorgio Di Tizio , Gilberto Atondo Siu , Alice Hutchings , Fabio Massacci

To obtain operational insights regarding the crime of burglary in London we consider the estimation of effects of covariates on the intensity of spatial point patterns. By taking into account localised properties of criminal behaviour, we…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-25 Jan Povala , Seppo Virtanen , Mark Girolami

We design persistent surveillance strategies for the quickest detection of anomalies taking place in an environment of interest. From a set of predefined regions in the environment, a team of autonomous vehicles collects noisy observations,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2012-10-15 Vaibhav Srivastava , Fabio Pasqualetti , Francesco Bullo

Selecting an appropriate clustering method as well as an optimal number of clusters in road accident data is at times confusing and difficult. This paper analyzes shortcomings of different existing techniques applied to cluster…

There have thousands of crimes are happening daily all around. But people keep statistics only few of them, therefore crime rates are increasing day by day. The reason behind can be less concern or less statistics of previous crimes. It is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Jumman Hossain , Rajib Chandra Das , Md. Ruhul Amin , Md. Saiful Islam

The study "Prediction of Highway Traffic Flow Based on Artificial Intelligence Algorithms Using California Traffic Data" presents a machine learning-based traffic flow prediction model to address global traffic congestion issues. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Junseong Lee , Jaegwan Cho , Yoonju Cho , Seoyoon Choi , Yejin Shin

Kriging is a fundamental tool for spatial prediction, but its computational complexity of $O(N^3)$ becomes prohibitive for large datasets. While local kriging using $K$-nearest neighbors addresses this issue, the selection of $K$ typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Jonathan Acosta

Traffic prediction is one of the key elements to ensure the safety and convenience of citizens. Existing traffic prediction models primarily focus on deep learning architectures to capture spatial and temporal correlation. They often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Sumin Han , Youngjun Park , Minji Lee , Jisun An , Dongman Lee

Data and algorithms are essential and complementary parts of a large-scale decision-making process. However, their injudicious use can lead to unforeseen consequences, as has been observed by researchers and activists alike in the recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Shubham Singh , Bhuvni Shah , Chris Kanich , Ian A. Kash

Inspired by the success of Geographically Weighted Regression and its accounting for spatial variations, we propose GeogGNN -- A graph neural network model that accounts for geographical latitude and longitudinal points. Using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Muhammad Al-Zafar Khan , Jamal Al-Karaki , Emad Mahafzah

With the growth of using cell phones and the increase in diversity of smart mobile devices, a massive volume of data is generated continuously in the process of using these devices. Among these data, Call Detail Records, CDR, is highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Mohammad Saleh Mahdizadeh , Behnam Bahrak

Predicting traffic conditions has been recently explored as a way to relieve traffic congestion. Several pioneering approaches have been proposed based on traffic observations of the target location as well as its adjacent regions, but they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Xingyi Cheng , Ruiqing Zhang , Jie Zhou , Wei Xu

The criminal justice system is currently ill-equipped to improve outcomes of individuals who cycle in and out of the system with a series of misdemeanor offenses. Often due to constraints of caseload and poor record linkage, prior…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Kit T. Rodolfa , Erika Salomon , Lauren Haynes , Ivan Higuera Mendieta , Jamie Larson , Rayid Ghani

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

Femicide refers to the killing of a female victim, often perpetrated by an intimate partner or family member, and is also associated with gender-based violence. Studies have shown that there is a pattern of escalating violence leading up to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Vinicius Lima , Jaque Almeida de Oliveira