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Ensuring urban safety is an essential part of developing sustainable cities. An urban safety map can assist cities to prevent future crimes. However, mapping is costly in terms of both time and money due to the need for manual data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Alameen Najjar , Shun'ichi Kaneko , Yoshikazu Miyanaga

Crime prediction is a widely studied research problem due to its importance in ensuring safety of city dwellers. Starting from statistical and classical machine learning based crime prediction methods, in recent years researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Rittik Basak Utsha , Muhtasim Noor Alif , Yeasir Rayhan , Tanzima Hashem , Mohammad Eunus Ali

We consider the problem of geographic profiling and offer an approach to choosing a suitable model for each offender. Based on the analysis of the examined dataset, we divide offenders into several types with similar behavior. According to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-09 Jana Svobodová

This project uses a spatial model (Geographically Weighted Regression) to relate various physical and social features to crime rates. Besides making interesting predictions from basic data statistics, the trained model can be used to…

Hot-spot-based policing programs aim to deter crime through increased proactive patrols at high-crime locations. While most hot spot programs target easily identified chronic hot spots, we introduce models for predicting temporary hot spots…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-13 Dylan J. Fitzpatrick , Wilpen L. Gorr , Daniel B. Neill

Objectives: To develop a deep learning framework to evaluate if and how incorporating micro-level mobility features, alongside historical crime and sociodemographic data, enhances predictive performance in crime forecasting at fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Ariadna Albors Zumel , Michele Tizzoni , Gian Maria Campedelli

Statistical values alone cannot bring the whole scenario of crime occurrences in the city of Dhaka. We need a better way to use these statistical values to predict crime occurrences and make the city a safer place to live. Proper…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Mashnoon Islam , Redwanul Karim , Kalyan Roy , Saif Mahmood , Sadat Hossain , M. Rashedur Rahman

Police departments around the world have been experimenting with forms of place-based data-driven proactive policing for over two decades. Modern incarnations of such systems are commonly known as hot spot predictive policing. These systems…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Nil-Jana Akpinar , Maria De-Arteaga , Alexandra Chouldechova

Finding the factors contributing to criminal activities and their consequences is essential to improve quantitative crime research. To respond to this concern, we examine an extensive set of features from different perspectives and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Fateha Khanam Bappee , Lucas May Petry , Amilcar Soares , Stan Matwin

It is quite evident that majority of the population lives in urban area today than in any time of the human history. This trend seems to increase in coming years. A study [5] says that nearly 80.7% of total population in USA stays in urban…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-31 Saroj Kumar Dash , Ilya Safro , Ravisutha Sakrepatna Srinivasamurthy

The classification of crime into discrete categories entails a massive loss of information. Crimes emerge out of a complex mix of behaviors and situations, yet most of these details cannot be captured by singular crime type labels. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Da Kuang , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

We present a method to capture groupings of similar calls and determine their relative spatial distribution from a collection of crime record narratives. We first obtain a topic distribution for each narrative, and then propose a nearest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Jonathan Zhou , Sarah Huestis-Mitchell , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

Predictive hotspot mapping plays a critical role in hotspot policing. Existing methods such as the popular kernel density estimation (KDE) do not consider the temporal dimension of crime. Building upon recent works in related fields, this…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yujie Hu , Fahui Wang , Cecile Guin , Haojie Zhu

Traditional crime prediction techniques are slow and inefficient when generating predictions as crime increases rapidly \cite{r15}. To enhance traditional crime prediction methods, a Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit model was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Patricia Dao , Jashmitha Sappa , Saanvi Terala , Tyson Wong , Michael Lam , Kevin Zhu

Our goal is to predict the location of the next crime in a crime series, based on the identified previous offenses in the series. We build a predictive model called Next Hit Predictor (NHP) that finds the most likely location of the next…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-14 Yunyi Li , Tong Wang

Exposure to crime and violence can harm individuals' quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Yuting Sun , Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin

Crime events are known to reveal spatio-temporal patterns, which can be used for predictive modeling and subsequent decision support. While the focus has hitherto been placed on areas with high population density, we address the challenging…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Cristina Kadar , Rudolf Maculan , Stefan Feuerriegel

Analyzing crime events is crucial to understand crime dynamics and it is largely helpful for constructing prevention policies. Point processes specified on linear networks can provide a more accurate description of crime incidents by…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-21 Sujeong Lee , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu , Heejin Lee , Jaewoo Park

Understanding the relationship between change in crime over time and the geography of urban areas is an important problem for urban planning. Accurate estimation of changing crime rates throughout a city would aid law enforcement as well as…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Cecilia Balocchi , Shane T. Jensen

Understanding the causes of crime is a longstanding issue in researcher's agenda. While it is a hard task to extract causality from data, several linear models have been proposed to predict crime through the existing correlations between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-10 Luiz G A Alves , Haroldo V Ribeiro , Francisco A Rodrigues