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Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. The structure of a biological population affects which traits evolve. Understanding evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations is difficult. Precise results have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Benjamin Allen , Gabor Lippner , Yu-Ting Chen , Babak Fotouhi , Naghmeh Momeni , Martin A. Nowak , Shing-Tung Yau

We consider diploid bi-parental analogues of Cannings models: in a population of fixed size $N$ the next generation is composed of $V_{i,j}$ offspring from parents $i$ and $j$, where $V=(V_{i,j})_{1\le i\neq j \le N}$ is a (jointly)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Matthias Birkner , Huili Liu , Anja Sturm

We examine kinetic symmetry breaking phenomena in an evolutionary political game in which voters, inhabiting a multidimensional ideological space, cast ballots via selection mechanisms subject to the competing forces of conformity and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Soulier , Tim Halpin-Healy

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

The Smoluchowski coagulation-diffusion PDE is a system of partial differential equations modelling the evolution in time of mass-bearing Brownian particles which are subject to short-range pairwise coagulation. This survey presents a fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Alan Hammond

In this work we propose a model to describe the statistical fluctuations of the self-driven objects (species A) walking against an opposite crowd (species B) in order to simulate the regime characterized by stop-and-go waves in the context…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-12 Roberto da Silva , Agenor Hentz , Alexandre Alves

We consider two population models subject to the evolutionary forces of selection and mutation, the Moran model and the $\Lambda$-Wright-Fisher model. In such models the block counting process traces back the number of potential ancestors…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Martin Möhle

We propose a modified voter model with locally conserved magnetization and investigate its phase ordering dynamics in two dimensions in numerical simulations. Imposing a local constraint on the dynamics has the surprising effect of speeding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Fabio Caccioli , Luca Dall'Asta , Tobias Galla , Tim Rogers

We analyse sequential Markov coalescent algorithms for populations with demographic structure: for a bottleneck model, a population-divergence model, and for a two-island model with migration. The sequential Markov coalescent method is an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 A. Eriksson , B. Mahjani , B. Mehlig

In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

By demonstrating the role that historical population replacements and waves of admixture have played around the world, the genetics work of Reich and colleagues has provided a paradigm for understanding human history [Reich et al. 2009;…

We prove a general large sieve statement in the context of random walks on subgraphs of a given graph. This can be seen as a generalization of previously known results where one performs a random walk on a group enjoying a strong spectral…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Florent Jouve , Jean-Sébastien Sereni

We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Thierry Huillet

We study a class of Cannings models with population size $N$ having a mixed multinomial offspring distribution with random success probabilities $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ induced by independent and identically distributed positive random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Thierry Huillet , Martin Möhle

We investigate the coarsening dynamics of a simplified version of the persistent voter model in which an agent can become a zealot -- i.e. resistent to change opinion -- at each step, based on interactions with its nearest neighbors. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-17 R. G. de Almeida , J. J. Arenzon , F. Corberi , W. G. Dantas , L. Smaldone

We consider the range $R^{(n)}$, the tree made up of visited vertices by a diffusive null-recurrent randomly biased walk $\mathbb{X}$ on a Galton-Watson tree $\mathbb{T}$ up to the $n$-th return time to its root and we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Alexis Kagan

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

This paper extends earlier work by Cox and Durrett, who studied the coalescence times for two lineages in the stepping stone model on the two-dimensional torus. We show that the genealogy of a sample of size n is given by a time change of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Iljana Zahle , J. Theodore Cox , Richard Durrett

We obtain the Brownian net of Sun and Swart (2008) as the scaling limit of the paths traced out by a system of continuous (one-dimensional) space and time branching and coalescing random walks. This demonstrates a certain universality of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Alison Etheridge , Nic Freeman , Daniel Straulino

The estimation of voting blocs is an important statistical inquiry in political science. However, the scope of these analyses is usually restricted to roll call data where individual votes are directly observed. Here, we examine a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 John D. O'Brien