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In elections, the vote shares or turnout rates show a strong spatial correlation. The logarithmic decay with distance suggests that a 2D noisy diffusive equation describes the system. Based on the study of U.S. presidential elections data,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-29 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

We present a model for growth in a multi-species population. We consider two types evolving as a logistic branching process with mutation, where one of the types has a selective advantage, and are interested in the regime in which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Marta Dai Pra , Julian Kern

We apply recently developed inference methods based on general coalescent processes to DNA sequence data obtained from various marine species. Several of these species are believed to exhibit so-called shallow gene genealogies, potentially…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-06 Matthias Steinrücken , Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath

The Voter model is a well-studied stochastic process that models the invasion of a novel trait $A$ (e.g., a new opinion, social meme, genetic mutation, magnetic spin) in a network of individuals (agents, people, genes, particles) carrying…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-28 Petros Petsinis , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Panagiotis Karras

The goal of this paper is to study the lookdown model with selection in the case of a population containing two types of individuals, with a reproduction model which is dual to the $\Lambda$-coalescent. In particular we formulate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Boubacar Bah , Etienne Pardoux

The genetic diversity of a species is shaped by its recent evolutionary history and can be used to infer demographic events or selective sweeps. Most inference methods are based on the null hypothesis that natural selection is a weak or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Richard A. Neher , Oskar Hallatschek

Branching processes are widely used to model the viral epidemic evolution. For more adequate investigation of viral epidemic modelling, we suggest to apply branching processes with transport of particles usually called branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Elizaveta Ermakova , Polina Makhmutova , Elena Yarovaya

Inference of the marginal likelihood of sample allele configurations using backward algorithms yields identical results with the Kingman coalescent, the Moran model, and the diffusion model (up to a scaling of time). For inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-20 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

Consider a haploid population which has evolved through an exchangeable reproduction dynamics, and in which all individuals alive at time $t$ have a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) who lived at time $A_t$, say. As time goes on, not only…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Pfaffelhuber , A. Wakolbinger

We establish convergence to the Kingman coalescent for the genealogy of a geographically - or otherwise - structured version of the Wright-Fisher population model with fast migration. The new feature is that migration probabilities may…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-25 Serik Sagitov , Peter Jagers , Vladimir Vatutin

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

We present a new model for seed banks, where direct ancestors of individuals may have lived in the near as well as the very far past. The classical Wright-Fisher model, as well as a seed bank model with bounded age distribution considered…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Jochen Blath , Adrian González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Dario Spanò

The classical model for the genealogies of a neutrally evolving population in a fixed environment is due to Kingman. Kingman's coalescent process, which produces a binary tree, universally emerges from many microscopic models in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ethan Levien

We study the behaviour of the rescaled minimal subtree containing the origin and K random vertices selected from a random critical (sufficiently spread-out, and in dimensions d > 8) lattice tree conditioned to survive until time ns, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-30 Manuel Cabezas , Alexander Fribergh , Mark Holmes , Edwin Perkins

Given an evolutionary model, such as Wright--Fisher (WF) or Moran, the n-coalescent problem consists of going backward in time to find for example the time to the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) and the topology of the tree. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-14 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

In this paper, we investigate the stochastic evolution equations (SEEs) driven by $\log$-Whittle-Mat$\acute{{\mathrm{e}}}$rn (W-M) random diffusion coefficient field and $Q$-Wiener multiplicative force noise. First, the well-posedness of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-05 X. Qi , M. Azaiez , C. Huang , C. Xu

When identical particles on a line collide, they merge and continue as one. Exact determinantal formulas have long been available for particles conditioned never to collide, but collisions change the number of particles, and exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Piotr Śniady

In this paper, we introduce a novel framework using inhomogeneous Branching Random Walks (BRWs) to model growth processes, specifically introducing genealogy-dependence in branching rates and displacement distributions to model phenomena…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-11 Lauren Ajax , Beatrice Durham , Pratima Hebbar , Cade Johnson , Jiayi Zhang

Natural populations often show enhanced genetic drift consistent with a strong skew in their offspring number distribution. The skew arises because the variability of family sizes is either inherently strong or amplified by population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-13 Takashi Okada , Oskar Hallatschek

We consider the two-opinion voter model on a regular random graph with n vertices and degree $d \geq 3$. It is known that consensus is reached on time scale n and that on this time scale the volume of the set of vertices with one opinion…