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In this paper, we consider the robust adaptive non parametric estimation problem for the drift coefficient in diffusion processes. An adaptive model selection procedure, based on the improved weighted least square estimates, is proposed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Svyatoslav Perelevskiy , Irina Makarova

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

We establish posterior consistency for non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the dispersion coefficient of a time-inhomogeneous Brownian motion.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We consider the identification of nonlinear diffusion coefficients of the form $a(t,u)$ or $a(u)$ in quasi-linear parabolic and elliptic equations. Uniqueness for this inverse problem is established under very general assumptions using…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Herbert Egger , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Matthias Schlottbom

We study diffusive mixing in the presence of thermal fluctuations under the assumption of large Schmidt number. In this regime we obtain a limiting equation that contains a diffusive thermal drift term with diffusion coefficient obeying a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 A. Donev , T. G. Fai , E. Vanden-Eijnden

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

In this paper we study jump-diffusion stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with a discontinuous drift coefficient and a possibly degenerate diffusion coefficient. Such SDEs appear in applications such as optimal control problems in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michaela Szölgyenyi

We consider nonparametric measurement error density deconvolution subject to heteroscedastic measurement errors as well as symmetry about zero and shape constraints, in particular unimodality. The problem is motivated by applications where…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Ya Su , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yan Zhang , Nilanjan Chatterjee , Raymond J. Carroll

We study the nonparametric estimation for the intensity of Poisson random measure in jump-diffusion CIR model based on the low frequency observations. This is given in terms of the minimization of norms on a nonempty, closed and convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Wei Xu

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

In this note, under a weak monotonicity and a weak coercivity, we address strong well-posedness of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by L\'{e}vy jump processes, where the coefficients are Lipschitz continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Jianhai Bao , Yao Liu , Jian Wang

For time-homogeneous stochastic differential equations (SDEs) it is enough to know that the coefficients are Lipschitz to conclude existence and uniqueness of a solution, as well as the existence of a strongly convergent numerical method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

The problem of integrated volatility estimation for the solution X of a stochastic differential equation with L{\'e}vy-type jumps is considered under discrete high-frequency observations in both short and long time horizon. We provide an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Miljenko Huzak

We present several results on the smoothness in $L_{p}$ sense of filtering densities under the Lipschitz continuity assumption on the coefficients of a partially observable diffusion processes. We obtain them by rewriting in divergence form…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-06 N. V. Krylov

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

When propagating uncertainty in the data of differential equations, the probability laws describing the uncertainty are typically themselves subject to uncertainty. We present a sensitivity analysis of uncertainty propagation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Oliver G. Ernst , Alois Pichler , Björn Sprungk

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We investigate Bayesian non-parametric inference of the $\Lambda$-measure of $\Lambda$-coalescent processes with recurrent mutation, parametrised by probability measures on the unit interval. We give verifiable criteria on the prior for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spanò