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We consider the contact process on finite and connected graphs and study the behavior of the extinction time, that is, the amount of time that it takes for the infection to disappear in the process started from full occupancy. We prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We consider the extinction time of the contact process on increasing sequences of finite graphs obtained from a variety of random graph models. Under the assumption that the infection rate is above the critical value for the process on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We show that the contact process on the rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs and Erdos-R{\'e}nyi graphs with mean degree large enough survives a time exponential in the size of these graphs for any positive infection rate. In addition, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Van Hao Can

We study the contact process on random graphs with low infection rate $\lambda$. For random $d$-regular graphs, it is known that the survival time is $O(\log n)$ below the critical $\lambda_c$. By contrast, on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

In this paper we study the metastability of the contact process on a random regular graph. We show that the extinction time of the contact process, when initialized so that all vertices are infected at time 0, grows exponentially with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wei Su

We study the extinction time $\uptau$ of the contact process on finite trees of bounded degree. We show that, if the infection rate is larger than the critical rate for the contact process on $\Z$, then, uniformly over all trees of degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Thomas Mountford , Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Daniel Valesin , Qiang Yao

We consider the contact process with infection rate $\lambda$ on a random $(d+1)$-regular graph with $n$ vertices, $G_n$. We study the extinction time $\tau_{G_n}$ (that is, the random amount of time until the infection disappears) as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Daniel Valesin

We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

We study one specific version of the contact process on a graph. Here, we allow multiple infections carried by the nodes and include a probability of removing nodes in a graph. The removal probability is purely determined by the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Xu Huang

We study the contact process on a class of geometric random graphs with scale-free degree distribution, defined on a Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This class includes the age-dependent random connection model and the soft Boolean…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Peter Gracar , Arne Grauer

We study the contact process on the complete graph on $n$ vertices where the rate at which the infection travels along the edge connecting vertices $i$ and $j$ is equal to $ \lambda w_i w_j / n$ for some $\lambda >0$, where $w_i$ are i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Jonathon Peterson

We study the contact process on a dynamic random~$d$-regular graph with an edge-switching mechanism, as well as an interacting particle system that arises from the local description of this process, called the herds process. Both these…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

In this paper, we derive a precise estimate for the mean extinction time of the contact process with a fixed infection rate on a star graph with $N$ leaves. Specifically, we determine not only the exponential main factor but also the exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Younghun Jo

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We consider the contact process on a dynamic graph defined as a random $d$-regular graph with a stationary edge-switching dynamics. In this graph dynamics, independently of the contact process state, each pair $\{e_1,e_2\}$ of edges of the…

We are interested in the spread of an epidemic between two communities that have higher connectivity within than between them. We model the two communities as independent Erdos-Renyi random graphs, each with n vertices and edge probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 David Sivakoff

We consider the contact process with infection rate $\lambda$ on $\mathbb{T}_n^d$, the $d$-ary tree of height $n$. We study the extinction time $\tau_{\mathbb{T}_n^d}$, that is, the random time it takes for the infection to disappear when…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Michael Cranston , Thomas Mountford , Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Daniel Valesin

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

We show that the contact process on a random $d$-regular graph initiated by a single infected vertex obeys the "cutoff phenomenon" in its supercritical phase. In particular, we prove that when the infection rate is larger than the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Steven Lalley , Wei Su

The key to our investigation is an improved (and in a sense sharp) understanding of the survival time of the contact process on star graphs. Using these results, we show that for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett
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