English

Contact process on a graph with communities

Probability 2012-10-15 v1

Abstract

We are interested in the spread of an epidemic between two communities that have higher connectivity within than between them. We model the two communities as independent Erdos-Renyi random graphs, each with n vertices and edge probability p = n^{a-1} (0<a<1), then add a small set of bridge edges, B, between the communities. We model the epidemic on this network as a contact process (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible infection) with infection rate \lambda and recovery rate 1. If np\lambda = b > 1 then the contact process on the Erdos-Renyi random graph is supercritical, and we show that it survives for exponentially long. Further, let \tau be the time to infect a positive fraction of vertices in the second community when the infection starts from a single vertex in the first community. We show that on the event that the contact process survives exponentially long, \tau |B|/(np) converges in distribution to an exponential random variable with a specified rate. These results generalize to a graph with N communities.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1210.3434,
  title  = {Contact process on a graph with communities},
  author = {David Sivakoff},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1210.3434},
  year   = {2012}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-21T22:20:26.473Z