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We consider the problem of estimating the probability density function of a circular random variable observed under censoring. To this end, we introduce a projection estimator constructed via a regression approach on linear sieves. We first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Nicolas Conanec , Claire Lacour , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

The "double descent" risk curve was proposed to qualitatively describe the out-of-sample prediction accuracy of variably-parameterized machine learning models. This article provides a precise mathematical analysis for the shape of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Ji Xu

This article explores the estimation of precision matrices in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models. We address the challenge of improving the accuracy of maximum likelihood-based precision estimation through penalization.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 A. Bekker , A. Kheyri , M. Arashi

Stochastic optimization problems often involve the expectation in its objective. When risk is incorporated in the problem description as well, then risk measures have to be involved in addition to quantify the acceptable risk, often in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Alois Pichler

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a paramount task in machine learning, for its broad applications across multiple domains, such as covariate shift adaptation, causal inference, independence tests and beyond. Parametric methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Meilin Wang , Wei Huang , Mingming Gong , Zheng Zhang

Density ratio estimation in high dimensions can be reframed as integrating a certain quantity, the time score, over probability paths which interpolate between the two densities. In practice, the time score has to be estimated based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Hanlin Yu , Arto Klami , Aapo Hyvärinen , Anna Korba , Omar Chehab

Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

Systemic risk measures were introduced to capture the global risk and the corresponding contagion effects that is generated by an interconnected system of financial institutions. To this purpose, two approaches were suggested. In the first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Sarah Kaakai , Anis Matoussi , Achraf Tamtalini

We consider the problem of combining data from observational and experimental sources to make causal conclusions. This problem is increasingly relevant, as the modern era has yielded passive collection of massive observational datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Evan Rosenman , Guillaume Basse , Art Owen , Michael Baiocchi

Risk measures connect probability theory or statistics to optimization, particularly to convex optimization. They are nowadays standard in applications of finance and in insurance involving risk aversion. This paper investigates a wide…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Paul Dommel , Alois Pichler

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many samples, is a central task in machine learning and statistics. In this work, we show that a large class of kernel methods for density ratio estimation suffers from error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Lukas Gruber , Markus Holzleitner , Johannes Lehner , Sepp Hochreiter , Werner Zellinger

We investigate the problem of density estimation on the unit circle and the unit sphere from a computational perspective. Our primary goal is to develop new density estimators that are both rate-optimal and computationally efficient for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Athanasios G. Georgiadis , Andrew P. Percival

In this contribution, we present a full overview of the continuous stochastic gradient (CSG) method, including convergence results, step size rules and algorithmic insights. We consider optimization problems in which the objective function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Max Grieshammer , Lukas Pflug , Michael Stingl , Andrian Uihlein

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

In this paper, we study two classes of optimal reinsurance models from perspectives of both insurers and reinsurers by minimizing their convex combination where the risk is measured by a distortion risk measure and the premium is given by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-19 Yuxia Huang , Chuancun Yin

This paper deals with the accomplishment of total area coverage of an arbitrary region using sensors with a finite sensing radius of rs. For a given region, we aim to obtain a deterministic placement of sensors which, apart from ensuring…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-01-27 Shyam M , Anurag Kumar

The density ratio of two probability distributions is one of the fundamental tools in mathematical and computational statistics and machine learning, and it has a variety of known applications. Therefore, density ratio estimation from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-28 Masanari Kimura , Howard Bondell

General ridge estimators are typical linear estimators in a general linear model. The class of them includes some shrinkage estimators in addition to classical linear unbiased estimators such as the ordinary least squares estimator and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Hirai Mukasa , Koji Tsukuda

In a general linear model, this paper derives a necessary and sufficient condition under which two general ridge estimators coincide with each other. The condition is given as a structure of the dispersion matrix of the error term. Since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda , Hiroshi Kurata

We introduce single-set spectral sparsification as a deterministic sampling based feature selection technique for regularized least squares classification, which is the classification analogue to ridge regression. The method is unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-08 Saurabh Paul , Petros Drineas