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Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

A new generalized ridge regression shrinkage path is proposed that is as short as possible under the restriction that it must pass through the vector of regression coefficient estimators that make the overall Optimal Variance-Bias Trade-Off…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Robert L. Obenchain

Variable selection in ultrahigh-dimensional linear regression is challenging due to its high computational cost. Therefore, a screening step is usually conducted before variable selection to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Run Wang , An Nguyen , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

Most image retrieval research prioritizes improving predictive performance, often overlooking situations where the reliability of predictions is equally important. The gap between model performance and reliability requirements highlights…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Kaiwen Cai , Chris Xiaoxuan Lu , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density $p^\star$, the goal is to construct an estimator $\widehat{p}$ such that $\mathrm{KL}(p^\star,\widehat{p})$ is small with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Spencer Compton , Gábor Lugosi , Jaouad Mourtada , Jian Qian , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

In the this paper, the authors propose to estimate the density of a targeted population with a weighted kernel density estimator (wKDE) based on a weighted sample. Bandwidth selection for wKDE is discussed. Three mean integrated squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-28 Bin Wang , Xiaofeng Wang

We present a distribution optimization framework that significantly improves confidence bounds for various risk measures compared to previous methods. Our framework encompasses popular risk measures such as the entropic risk measure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Hao Liang , Zhi-quan Luo

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) algorithms are widely used in a variety of estimation and prediction tasks in signal-processing and machine learning applications. Despite their popularity, a theory that explains their statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

Shrinkage estimators have profound impacts in statistics and in scientific and engineering applications. In this article, we consider shrinkage estimation in the presence of linear predictors. We formulate two heteroscedastic hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Samuel Kou , Justin J. Yang

This paper deals with minimax rates of convergence for estimation of density functions on the real line. The densities are assumed to be location mixtures of normals, a global regularity requirement that creates subtle difficulties for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Arlene K. H. Kim

Our investigation concerns the estimation of predictive densities and a study of efficiency as measured by the frequentist risk of such predictive densities with integrated $L_2$ and $L_1$ losses. Our findings relate to a $p-$variate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-25 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

In this paper, I show that classic two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimates are highly unstable with weak instruments. I propose a ridge estimator (ridge IV) and show that it is asymptotically normal even with weak instruments, whereas 2SLS…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-19 Karthik Rajkumar

We tackle the problem of high-dimensional nonparametric density estimation by taking the class of log-concave densities on $\mathbb{R}^p$ and incorporating within it symmetry assumptions, which facilitate scalable estimation algorithms and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth

Density-based Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection has recently been shown unreliable for the task of detecting OOD images. Various density ratio based approaches achieve good empirical performance, however methods typically lack a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-09 Mingtian Zhang , Andi Zhang , Tim Z. Xiao , Yitong Sun , Steven McDonagh

We present a local density estimator based on first order statistics. To estimate the density at a point, $x$, the original sample is divided into subsets and the average minimum sample distance to $x$ over all such subsets is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 Vikram V. Garg , Luis Tenorio , Karen Willcox

Recently there has been a surge of interest in understanding implicit regularization properties of iterative gradient-based optimization algorithms. In this paper, we study the statistical guarantees on the excess risk achieved by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-28 Tomas Vaškevičius , Varun Kanade , Patrick Rebeschini

We propose risk-sensitive reinforcement learning algorithms catering to three families of risk measures, namely expectiles, utility-based shortfall risk and optimized certainty equivalent risk. For each risk measure, in the context of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Sumedh Gupte , Shrey Rakeshkumar Patel , Soumen Pachal , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

General predictive models do not provide a measure of confidence in predictions without Bayesian assumptions. A way to circumvent potential restrictions is to use conformal methods for constructing non-parametric confidence regions, that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-21 Evgeny Burnaev , Ivan Nazarov

We provide a framework for detecting relevant insurance companies in a systemic risk perspective. Among the alternative methodologies for measuring systemic risk, we propose a complex network approach where insurers are linked to form a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Gian Paolo Clemente , Alessandra Cornaro

We consider the problem of taking an opaque forest and determining the regions that are covered by it. We provide a tight upper bound on the complexity of this problem, and an algorithm for computing this area, which is worst-case optimal.

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2013-11-22 Alexis Beingessner , Michiel Smid
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