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Density Ratio Estimation with Conditional Probability Paths

Machine Learning 2025-06-13 v3

Abstract

Density ratio estimation in high dimensions can be reframed as integrating a certain quantity, the time score, over probability paths which interpolate between the two densities. In practice, the time score has to be estimated based on samples from the two densities. However, existing methods for this problem remain computationally expensive and can yield inaccurate estimates. Inspired by recent advances in generative modeling, we introduce a novel framework for time score estimation, based on a conditioning variable. Choosing the conditioning variable judiciously enables a closed-form objective function. We demonstrate that, compared to previous approaches, our approach results in faster learning of the time score and competitive or better estimation accuracies of the density ratio on challenging tasks. Furthermore, we establish theoretical guarantees on the error of the estimated density ratio.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2502.02300,
  title  = {Density Ratio Estimation with Conditional Probability Paths},
  author = {Hanlin Yu and Arto Klami and Aapo Hyvärinen and Anna Korba and Omar Chehab},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.02300},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

To appear in ICML 2025