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Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

A Monte Carlo simulation was used to determine which assumptions for ordered categorical data, continuity vs. discrete categories, most frequently identifies the underlying factor structure when a response variable has five ordered…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-17 R. Noah Padgett , Rebecca J. Tipton

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li

The montecarlo method, which is quite commonly used to solve maximum entropy problems in statistical physics, can actually be used to solve inverse problems in a much wider context. The probability distribution which maximizes entropy can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jan Naudts

We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

In this review, we address the use of Monte Carlo methods for approximating definite integrals of the form $Z = \int L(x) d P(x)$, where $L$ is a target function (often a likelihood) and $P$ a finite measure. We present vertical-likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-24 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

Monte Carlo sampling is a powerful toolbox of algorithmic techniques widely used for a number of applications wherein some noisy quantity, or summary statistic thereof, is sought to be estimated. In this paper, we survey the literature for…

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

In many applications common in testing for convergence the number of cross-sectional units is large and the number of time periods are few. In these situations asymptotic tests based on an omnibus null hypothesis are characterised by a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-27 Luisa Corrado , Melvyn Weeks , Thanasis Stengos , M. Ege Yazgan

A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

We engineer a new probabilistic Monte-Carlo algorithm for isomorphism testing. Most notably, as opposed to all other solvers, it implicitly exploits the presence of symmetries without explicitly computing them. We provide extensive…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Markus Anders , Pascal Schweitzer

This article concerns tests for the two-sample location problem when the dimension is larger than the sample size. The traditional multivariate-rank-based procedures cannot be used in high dimensional settings because the sample scatter…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-30 Long Feng

Random walks are frequently used as a model for very diverse physical phenomena. The Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool for the study of the properties of systems modelled as random walks. Often, each walker is associated with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-21 Hunter Belanger , Davide Mancusi , Andrea Zoia

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

The combination of continuum Many-Body Quantum physics and Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful and well established approach to first principles calculations for large systems. Replacing the exact solution of the problem with a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail

The Monte Carlo method is typically considered the gold standard for simulating reactor physics problems, as it does not require discretization of the phase space. This is not necessarily true though when simulating multigroup problems, as…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-22 Parth Singh , Hunter Belanger

We consider a wide range of matrix models and study them using the Monte Carlo technique in the large $N$ limit. The results we obtain agree with exact analytic expressions and recent numerical bootstrap methods for models with one and two…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-04-05 Raghav G. Jha

This study presents a simulation study to compare different non-parametric global envelopes that are refinements of the rank envelope proposed by Myllym\"aki et al. (2017, Global envelope tests for spatial processes, J. R. Statist. Soc. B…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Mari Myllymäki , Tomáš Mrkvička

We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Arne Decadt , Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

Hypothesis tests calibrated by (re)sampling methods (such as permutation, rank and bootstrap tests) are useful tools for statistical analysis, at the computational cost of requiring Monte-Carlo sampling for calibration. It is common and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro