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The efficiency of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) can suffer when sampling a distribution with a wide range of length scales, because the small step sizes needed for stability in high-curvature regions are inefficient elsewhere. To address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-09 Chirag Modi , Alex Barnett , Bob Carpenter

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

The integration of artificial intelligence into clinical workflows requires reliable and robust models. Among the main features of robustness is repeatability. Much attention is given to classification performance without assessing the…

Nonparametric tests for functional data are a challenging class of tests to work with because of the potentially high dimensional nature of the data. One of the main challenges for considering rank-based tests, like the Mann-Whitney or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Mark J. Meyer

We consider conditional exact tests of factor effects in designed experiments for discrete response variables. Similarly to the analysis of contingency tables, a Markov chain Monte Carlo method can be used for performing exact tests, when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

The multilevel Monte Carlo method is applied to an academic example in the field of electromagnetism. The method exhibits a reduced variance by assigning the samples to multiple models with a varying spatial resolution. For the given…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Armin Galetzka , Zeger Bontinck , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The Monte Carlo method is often used to simulate systems which can be modeled by random walks. In order to calculate observables, in many implementations the "walkers" carry a statistical weight which is generally assumed to be positive.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-05 Hunter Belanger , Davide Mancusi , Andrea Zoia

We introduce an efficient numerical implementation of a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to sample a probability distribution on a manifold (introduced theoretically in Zappa, Holmes-Cerfon, Goodman (2018)), where the manifold is defined by…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-22 Kerun Xu , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon

Computing systems interacting with real-world processes must safely and reliably process uncertain data. The Monte Carlo method is a popular approach for computing with such uncertain values. This article introduces a framework for…

We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

Multiple hypothesis tests are often carried out in practice using p-value estimates obtained with bootstrap or permutation tests since the analytical p-values underlying all hypotheses are usually unknown. This article considers the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-08 Georg Hahn

Rank-based inference methods are applied in various disciplines, typically when procedures relying on standard normal theory are not justifiable, for example when data are not symmetrically distributed, contain outliers, or responses are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Edgar Brunner , Frank Konietschke , Arne C. Bathke , Markus Pauly

This work describes the R package GET that implements global envelopes for a general set of $d$-dimensional vectors $T$ in various applications. A $100(1-\alpha)$% global envelope is a band bounded by two vectors such that the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Mari Myllymäki , Tomáš Mrkvička

We propose confidence regions for the parameters of incomplete models with exact coverage of the true parameter in finite samples. Our confidence region inverts a test, which generalizes Monte Carlo tests to incomplete models. The test…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lixiong Li , Marc Henry

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

This paper presents a tool for addressing a key component in many algorithms for planning robot trajectories under uncertainty: evaluation of the safety of a robot whose actions are governed by a closed-loop feedback policy near a nominal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-06-05 Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

The task of estimating a matrix given a sample of observed entries is known as the \emph{matrix completion problem}. Most works on matrix completion have focused on recovering an unknown real-valued low-rank matrix from a random sample of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-27 Olga Klopp , Jean Lafond , Eric Moulines , Joseph Salmon

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara
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