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Monte Carlo simulations are based on the manipulation of random numbers to evaluate probable outcomes, with applicability in a variety of different fields. By assigning probabilities, which can be determined a priori, to various events, it…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-01-03 Parasuraman Swaminathan

The steadily increasing size of scientific Monte Carlo simulations and the desire for robust, correct, and reproducible results necessitates rigorous testing procedures for scientific simulations in order to detect numerical problems and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-08 Markus Wallerberger , Emanuel Gull

Importance sampling is a common technique for Monte Carlo approximation, including Monte Carlo approximation of p-values. Here it is shown that a simple correction of the usual importance sampling p-values creates valid p-values, meaning…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-12 Matthew T. Harrison

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

A new acceleration algorithm to address the problem of multiple time scales in variational Monte Carlo simulations is presented. After a first attempted move has been rejected, the delayed rejection algorithm attempts a second move with a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Dario Bressanini , Gabriele Morosi , Silvia Tarasco , Antonietta Mira

We employ a general Monte Carlo method to test composite hypotheses of goodness-of-fit for several popular multivariate models that can accommodate both asymmetry and heavy tails. Specifically, we consider weighted L2-type tests based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Maicon J. Karling , Marc G. Genton , Simos G. Meintanis

In Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, Rank Reversals are a serious problem that can greatly affect the results of a Multi-Criteria Decision Method against a particular set of alternatives. It is therefore useful to have a mechanism that…

In the framework of uncertainty quantification, we consider a quantity of interest which depends non-smoothly on the high-dimensional parameter representing the uncertainty. We show that, in this situation, the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Laura Scarabosio

Space filling designs are central to studying complex systems in various areas of science. They are used for obtaining an overall understanding of the behaviour of the response over the input space, model construction and uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-10 Shirin Golchi , Jason L. Loeppky

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

Monte Carlo sampling of any system may be analyzed in terms of an associated glass model -- a variant of the Random Energy Model -- with, whenever there is a sign problem, complex fields. This model has three types of phases (liquid, frozen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-17 Gustavo During , Jorge Kurchan

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren

As increasingly complex hypothesis-testing scenarios are considered in many scientific fields, analytic derivation of null distributions is often out of reach. To the rescue comes Monte Carlo testing, which may appear deceptively simple: as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-13 Egil Ferkingstad , Lars Holden , Geir Kjetil Sandve

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones

The order of convergence of the Monte Carlo method is 1/2 which means that we need quadruple samples to decrease the error in half in the numerical simulation. Multilevel Monte Carlo methods reach the same order of error by spending less…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Myoungnyoun Kim , Imbo Sim

A general and relatively simple method for construction of multivariate goodness-of-fit tests is introduced. The proposed test is applied to elliptical distributions. The method is based on a characterization of probability distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Feifei Chen , M. Dolores Jiménez-Gamero , Simos Meintanis , Lixing Zhu

Eliciting relevance judgments for ranking evaluation is labor-intensive and costly, motivating careful selection of which documents to judge. Unlike traditional approaches that make this selection deterministically, probabilistic sampling…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-04-26 Tobias Schnabel , Adith Swaminathan , Peter Frazier , Thorsten Joachims

A Monte Carlo model was used to study the scattering error of an absorption meter with a divergent light beam and a limited acceptance angle of the receiver. Reflections at both ends of the tube were taken into account. Calculations of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 Jacek Piskozub , Piotr J. Flatau , J. V. R. Zaneveld

The Monte Carlo evaluation of path integrals is one of a few general purpose methods to approach strongly coupled systems. It is used in all branches of Physics, from QCD/nuclear physics to the correlated electron systems. However, many…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2020-07-13 Andrei Alexandru , Gokce Basar , Paulo F. Bedaque , Neill C. Warrington

Many problems in materials science and biology involve particles interacting with strong, short-ranged bonds, that can break and form on experimental timescales. Treating such bonds as constraints can significantly speed up sampling their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Miranda Holmes-Cerfon