Related papers: Tail Asymptotics for the Extremes of Bivariate Gau…

We derive exact tail asymptotics of sojourn time above the level $u\geq 0$ $$ \mathbb{P}\left(v(u)\int_0^T \mathbb{I}(X(t)-ct>u)d t>x\right), \quad x\geq 0 $$ as $u\to\infty$, where $X$ is a Gaussian process with continuous sample paths,…

We investigate what happens when an entire sample path of a smooth Gaussian process on a compact interval lies above a high level. Specifically, we determine the precise asymptotic probability of such an event, the extent to which the high…

In this paper, we derive tail approximations of integrals of exponential functions of Gaussian random fields with varying mean functions and approximations of the associated point processes. This study is motivated naturally by multiple…

We study the tail behavior for the maximum of discrete Gaussian free field on a 2D box with Dirichlet boundary condition after centering by its expectation. We show that it exhibits an exponential decay for the right tail and a double…

Consider a random walk $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments with zero mean, finite variance and moment of order $2 + \delta$ for some $\delta>0$. For any starting point $x\in \mathbb R$,…

Let $\{X_t, t \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise asymptotically independent random variables with regularly varying tails and $\{ \Theta_t, t\geq1 \}$ be a sequence of positive random variables independent of…

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

Let $T$ be the Student one- or two-sample $t$-, $F$-, or Welch statistic. Now release the underlying assumptions of normality, independence and identical distribution and consider a more general case where one only assumes that the vector…

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…

We obtain an asymptotic expansion for the tails of the random variable $\tcal=\arg\max_{u\in\mathbb{R}}(\mathcal{A}_2(u)-u^2)$ where $\mathcal{A}_2$ is the Airy$_2$ process. Using the formula of Schehr \cite{Sch} that connects the density…

We consider a multi-type branching random walk with displacements that have either regularly varying or semi-exponential tails. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the rightmost particle in irreducible and reducible regimes and…

Given that a stationary Gaussian process is above a high threshold, the length of time it spends before going below that threshold is studied. The asymptotic order is determined by the smoothness of the sample paths, which in turn is a…

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with infinite mean $\mathbf E[|\xi_1|]=\infty.$ Consider a random walk $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$, a stopping time $\tau=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0\}$ and let…

In the paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the randomly weighted sums with upper tail asymptotically independent increments under new conditions without requiring moment assumptions on random weights.An application of the…

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

Gaussian scale mixtures are constructed as Gaussian processes with a random variance. They have non-Gaussian marginals and can exhibit asymptotic dependence unlike Gaussian processes, which are asymptotically independent except in the case…