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We propose a computationally efficient approach to the nonadiabatic time-dependent density functional theory (TDDFT) which is based on a representation of the frequency-dependent exchange correlation kernel as a response of a set of damped…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2019-12-18 Dmitry R. Gulevich , Yaroslav V. Zhumagulov , Alexei V. Vagov , Vasili Perebeinos

Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Alex Nguyen-Le , Victor M. Preciado

This study develops an asymptotic theory for estimating the time-varying characteristics of locally stationary functional time series (LSFTS). We investigate a kernel-based method to estimate the time-varying covariance operator and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Daisuke Kurisu

Stationary graph process models are commonly used in the analysis and inference of data sets collected on irregular network topologies. While most of the existing methods represent graph signals with a single stationary process model that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Abdullah Canbolat , Elif Vural

Nonstationarity of real-life time series requires model adaptation. In classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH there is assumed some arbitrarily chosen dependence type. To avoid their bias, we will focus on novel more agnostic approach: moving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jarek Duda

Non-stationarity is an intrinsic property of real-world time series and plays a crucial role in time series forecasting. Previous studies primarily adopt instance normalization to attenuate the non-stationarity of original series for better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Tianyu Jia , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun , Dilfira Kudrat , Qinghua Hu

In stationary subspace analysis (SSA) one assumes that the observable p-variate time series is a linear mixture of a k-variate nonstationary time series and a (p-k)-variate stationary time series. The aim is then to estimate the unmixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Lea Flumian , Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is important for various domains but is confronted by challenges in handling the complex temporal-contextual relationships. As multivariate input models underperforming some recent univariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Shihao Yang

In this paper, we consider the time-inhomogeneous nonlinear time series regression for a general class of locally stationary time series. On one hand, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This study introduces an innovative local statistical moment approach for estimating Kramers-Moyal coefficients, effectively bridging the gap between nonparametric and parametric methodologies. These coefficients play a crucial role in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Christian Wiedemann , Matthias Wächter , Jan A. Freund , Joachim Peinke

Accurate network traffic prediction of base station cell is very vital for the expansion and reduction of wireless devices in base station cell. The burst and uncertainty of base station cell network traffic makes the network traffic…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Jiachen Zhang , Xingquan zuo , Mingying Xu , Jing Han , Baisheng Zhang

A semi-analytical dynamical mean-field approximation (DMA) has been developed for large but finite $N$-unit active rotator (AR) networks subject to individual white noises. Assuming weak noises and the Gaussian distribution of state…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Hideo Hasegawa

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

We illustrate the efficacy of a discrete wavelet based approach to characterize fluctuations in non-stationary time series. The present approach complements the multi-fractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) method and is quite…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-04-16 P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

In this paper we consider multivariate Hawkes processes with baseline hazard and kernel functions that depend on time. This defines a class of locally stationary processes. We discuss estimation of the time-dependent baseline hazard and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Enno Mammen

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

Factor Analysis is a widely used modeling technique for stationary time series which achieves dimensionality reduction by revealing a hidden low-rank plus sparse structure of the covariance matrix. Such an idea of parsimonious modeling has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Linyang Wang , Bin Zhu , Wanquan Liu

Many spatial processes exhibit nonstationary features. We estimate a variance function from a single process observation where the errors are nonstationary and correlated. We propose a difference-based approach for a one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-24 Eunice J. Kim , Zhengyuan Zhu

The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Muneya Matsui

Local Fourier analysis is a commonly used tool to assess the quality and aid in the construction of geometric multigrid methods for translationally invariant operators. In this paper we automate the process of local Fourier analysis and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Karsten Kahl , Nils Kintscher