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In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

In this paper, we focus on isotropic and stationary sphere-cross-time random fields. We first introduce the class of spherical functional autoregressive-moving average processes (SPHARMA), which extend in a natural way the spherical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Alessia Caponera

This article introduces the class of continuous time locally stationary wavelet processes. Continuous time models enable us to properly provide scale-based time series models for irregularly-spaced observations for the first time, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Henry Antonio Palasciano , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason

The variational local moment approach (V-LMA), being a modification of the method due to Logan {\it et al}., is presented here. The existence of local moments is taken from the outset and their values are determined through variational…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-02-03 Anna Kauch , Krzysztof Byczuk

In this paper some general theory is presented for locally stationary processes based on the stationary approximation and the stationary derivative. Laws of large numbers, central limit theorems as well as deterministic and stochastic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper we discuss dynamic ARMA-type regression models for time series taking values in $(0,\infty)$. In the proposed model, the conditional mean is modeled by a dynamic structure containing autoregressive and moving average terms,…

During the last two decades, locally stationary processes have been widely studied in the time series literature. In this paper we consider the locally-stationary vector-auto-regression model of order one, or LS-VAR(1), and estimate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Giovanni Motta

A new approach for the analysis of nonstationary signals is proposed, with a focus on audio applications. Following earlier contributions, nonstationarity is modeled via stationarity-breaking operators acting on Gaussian stationary random…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-24 Adrien Meynard , Bruno Torrésani

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

In this paper, we consider function-indexed normalized weighted integrated periodograms for equidistantly sampled multivariate continuous-time state space models which are multivariate continuous-time ARMA processes. Thereby, the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

There exists a wide literature on modelling strongly dependent time series using a longmemory parameter d, including more recent work on semiparametric wavelet estimation. As a generalization of these latter approaches, in this work we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-28 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

We propose a practicable method for describing linear dynamics of different finite Fermi systems. The method is based on a general self-consistent procedure for factorization of the two-body residual interaction. It is relevant for diverse…

Atomic and Molecular Clusters · Physics 2011-05-26 V. O. Nesterenko , J. Kvasil , P. -G. Reinhard

Method for detection and visualization of trends, periodicities, local peculiarities in measurement series (dL-method) based on DFA technology (Detrended fluctuation analysis) is proposed. The essence of the method lies in reflecting the…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-20 D. V. Lande , A. A. Snarskii

Time series often exhibit non-ergodic behaviour that complicates forecasting and inference. This article proposes a likelihood-based approach for estimating ergodicity transformations that addresses such challenges. The method is broadly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-19 Anthony Britto