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Density functions that represent sample data are often multimodal, i.e. they exhibit more than one maximum. Typically this behavior is taken to indicate that the underlying data deserves a more detailed representation as a mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-04 Steve Huntsman

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process with intensity measure $t\mu$, $t>0$, over a Borel space $\mathbb{X}$, where $\mu$ is a fixed measure. Another point process $\xi_t$ on the real line is constructed by applying a symmetric function…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We consider the exchangeable fragmentation-coagulation (EFC) processes, where the coagulations are multiple and not simultaneous, as in a $\Lambda$-coalescent, and the fragmentations dislocate at finite rate an individual block into…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Clément Foucart , Xiaowen Zhou

We study the extremes for a class of a symmetric stable random fields with long range dependence. We prove functional extremal theorems both in the space of sup measures and in the space of cadlag functions of several variables. The limits…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

We investigate the asymptotic properties of the integrated periodogram calculated from a sequence of indicator functions of dependent extremal events. An event in Euclidean space is extreme if it occurs far away from the origin. We use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

We study the consistency and weak convergence of the conditional tail function and conditional Hill estimators under broad dependence assumptions for a heavy-tailed response sequence and a covariate sequence. Consistency is established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Martin Bladt , Laurits Glargaard , Theodor Henningsen

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

The multivariate extremal index function relates the asymptotic distribution of the vector of pointwise maxima of a multivariate stationary sequence to that of the independent sequence from the same stationary distribution. It also measures…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-14 Christian Y. Robert

We address the question of condensation and extremes for three classes of intimately related stochastic processes: (a) random allocation models and zero-range processes, (b) tied-down renewal processes, (c) free renewal processes. While for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Claude Godrèche

Extreme values of real phenomena are events that occur with low frequency, but can have a large impact on real life. These are, in many practical problems, high-dimensional by nature (e.g. Tawn, 1990; Coles and Tawn, 1991). To study these…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

Let $W_i,i\in{\mathbb{N}}$, be independent copies of a zero-mean Gaussian process $\{W(t),t\in{\mathbb{R}}^d\}$ with stationary increments and variance $\sigma^2(t)$. Independently of $W_i$, let $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\delta_{U_i}$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather , Laurens de Haan

A maximal inequality is an inequality which involves the (absolute) supremum $\sup_{s\leq t}|X_{s}|$ or the running maximum $\sup_{s\leq t}X_{s}$ of a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. We discuss maximal inequalities for several classes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Franziska Kühn , René L. Schilling

We provide an empirical process theory for locally stationary processes over nonsmooth function classes. An important novelty over other approaches is the use of the flexible functional dependence measure to quantify dependence. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

We propose a coefficient that measures dependence in paired samples of functions. It has properties similar to the Pearson correlation, but differs in significant ways: (i) it is designed to measure dependence between curves, (ii) it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Mihyun Kim , Piotr Kokoszka

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

A baroclinic model for the atmospheric jet at middle-latitudes is used as a stochastic generator of time series of the total energy of the system. Statistical inference of extreme values is applied to yearly maxima sequences of the time…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Mara Felici , Valerio Lucarini , Antonio Speranza , Renato Vitolo

Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be iid random vectors and $f\ge 0$ be a non-negative function. Let also $k(n) = {\rm Argmax}_{i=1,...,n} f(X_i)$. We are interested in the distribution of $X_{k(n)}$ and their limit theorems. In other words, what is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Hans-Peter Scheffler , Stilian Stoev

We study subgroups of Thompson's group $F$ by means of an automaton associated with them. We prove that every maximal subgroup of $F$ of infinite index is closed, that is, it coincides with the subgroup of $F$ accepted by the automaton…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Gili Golan

For ergodic optimization on any topological dynamical system, with real-valued potential function $f$ belonging to any separable Banach space $B$ of continuous functions, we show that the $f$-maximizing measure is typically unique, in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Oliver Jenkinson , Xiaoran Li , Yuexin Liao , Yiwei Zhang