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We derive exact expressions for the finite-time statistics of extrema (maximum and minimum) of the spatial displacement and the fluctuating entropy flow of biased random walks. Our approach captures key features of extreme events in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 Alexandre Guillet , Édgar Roldán , Frank Jülicher

Since many environmental processes such as heat waves or precipitation are spatial in extent, it is likely that a single extreme event affects several locations and the areal modeling of extremes is therefore essential if the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-28 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Éyi-Minko , Mathieu Ribatet

In this manuscript, we consider finitely many maps, all of which are defined on a smooth compact measure space, with at least one map in the collection having degree strictly bigger than 1. Working with random dynamics generated by this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Thirupathi Perumal , Shrihari Sridharan

We consider a point process sequence induced by a stationary symmetric alpha-stable (0 < alpha < 2) discrete parameter random field. It is easy to prove, following the arguments in the one-dimensional case in Resnick and Samorodnitsky…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 Parthanil Roy

In this paper we present a Doob type maximal inequality for stochastic processes satisfying the conditional increment control condition. If we assume, in addition, that the margins of the process have uniform exponential tail decay, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Xuan Liu , Guangyu Xi

We study stationary max-stable processes $\{\eta(t)\colon t\in\mathbb R\}$ admitting a representation of the form $\eta(t)=\max_{i\in\mathbb N}(U_i+ Y_i(t))$, where $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \delta_{U_i}$ is a Poisson point process on $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko

We consider finite element approximations of ill-posed elliptic problems with conditional stability. The notion of {\emph{optimal error estimates}} is defined including both convergence with respect to mesh parameter and perturbations in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Erik Burman , Mihai Nechita , Lauri Oksanen

We apply the Stein-Chen method to problems from extreme value theory. On the one hand, the Stein-Chen method for Poisson approximation allows us to obtain bounds on the Kolmogorov distance between the law of the maximum of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-10 Anne Feidt

Recently the regular conditional distributions of max-infinitely divisible processes were derived by \citet{Dombry2011} and although these conditional distributions have complicated closed forms, \citet{Dombry2011b} introduce an algorithm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-28 Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet

We find the exact upper estimate for the upper density of zeros of entire functions of exponential type whose indicator diagram is contained in a given interval.

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Alexandre Eremenko , Peter Yuditskii

The main objective of this paper is to develop extreme value theory for $\vartheta$-expansions. We establish the limit distribution of the maximum value in a $\vartheta$-continued fraction mixing stationary stochastic process, along with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Gabriela Ileana Sebe , Dan Lascu , Bilel Selmi

Extreme value (EV) statistics of correlated systems are widely investigated in many fields, spanning the spectrum from weather forecasting to earthquake prediction. Does the unavoidable discrete sampling of a continuous correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-29 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

In this paper, we introduce a novel Extra-Gradient method with anchor term governed by general parameters. Our method is derived from an explicit discretization of a Tikhonov-regularized monotone flow in Hilbert space, which provides a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Radu Ioan Boţ , Enis Chenchene

Exact approximations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a general emerging class of sampling algorithms. One of the main ideas behind exact approximations consists of replacing intractable quantities required to run standard…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-30 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Classical coupling constructions arrange for copies of the \emph{same} Markov process started at two \emph{different} initial states to become equal as soon as possible. In this paper, we consider an alternative coupling framework in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 P. A. Ernst , W. S. Kendall , G. O. Roberts , J. S. Rosenthal

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

For a given stationary max-stable random field $X(t),t\in Z^d$ the corresponding generalised Pickands constant coincides with the classical extremal index $\theta$ which always exists. In this contribution we discuss necessary and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-07 E. Hashorva

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

Aulbach et al. (2012) introduced the concept of D-norms in the framework of functional extreme value theory (EVT) extending the multivariate case in a natural manner. In particular, the distribution of a standard max-stable process (MSP)…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Stefan Aulbach