Related papers: Martingale marginals do not always determine conve…
Suppose that $(X,Y,Z)$ is a random walk in $\mathbb{Z}^3$ that moves in the following way: on the first visit to a vertex only $Z$ changes by $\pm 1$ equally likely, while on later visits to the same vertex $(X,Y)$ performs a…
Renz (1996), Ouchti(2005), El Machkouri and Ouchti (2007) and Mourrat (2013) have established the bounds on the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for discrete time martingales. In the present paper a modification of the…
It is well known that given two probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb{R}$ in convex order there exists a discrete-time martingale with these marginals. Several solutions are known (for example from the literature on the Skorokhod…
Strassen's classical martingale coupling theorem states that two real-valued random variables are ordered in the convex (resp.\ increasing convex) stochastic order if and only if they admit a martingale (resp.\ submartingale) coupling. By…
This paper introduces a new approach to the study of rates of convergence for posterior distributions. It is a natural extension of a recent approach to the study of Bayesian consistency. In particular, we improve on current rates of…
Is this paper we study penalisations of diffusions satisfying some technical conditions, generalizing a result obtained by Najnudel, Roynette and Yor. If one of these diffusions has probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$, then our result can…
In this paper, we exhibit a new family of martingale couplings between two one-dimensional probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ in the convex order. This family is parametrised by two dimensional probability measures on the unit square with…
Let $\alpha$ be a Steinhaus or a Rademacher random multiplicative function. For a wide class of multiplicative functions $f$ we show that the sum $\sum_{n \le x}\alpha(n) f(n)$, normalised to have mean square $1$, has a non-Gaussian…
We present a way of introducing joint distibution function and its marginal distribution functions for non-compatible observables. Each such marginal distribution function has the property of commutativity. Models based on this approach can…
Let $\mm_n, n=0,1,...$ be the supercritical branching random walk, in which the number of direct descendants of one individual may be infinite with positive probability. Assume that the standard martingale $W_n$ related to $\mm_n$ is…
It is well known that a Lorenz curve, derived from the distribution function of a random variable, can itself be viewed as a probability distribution function of a new random variable [4]. In a previous work of ours [26], we proved the…
Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as an elementary example of a probability model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the mode parameter of the triangular distribution over the unit interval…
We derive conditions under which random sequences of polarizations (two-point symmetrizations) converge almost surely to the symmetric decreasing rearrangement. The parameters for the polarizations are independent random variables whose…
We give a new characterization for mutual absolute continuity of probability measures on a filtered space. For this, we introduce a martingale limit $M$ that measures the similarity between the tails of the probability measures restricted…
We consider the branching random walks in $d$-dimensional integer lattice with time--space i.i.d. offspring distributions. Then the normalization of the total population is a nonnegative martingale and it almost surely converges to a…
In this paper, we give estimates of ideal or minimal distances between the distribution of the normalized partial sum and the limiting Gaussian distribution for stationary martingale difference sequences or stationary sequences satisfying…
A convergence theorem for martingales with c\`adl\`ag trajectories (right continuous with left limits everywhere) is obtained in the sense of the weak dual topology on Hilbert space, under conditions that are much weaker than those required…
In spite of its high practical relevance, cluster specific multiple inference for linear mixed model predictors has hardly been addressed so far. While marginal inference for population parameters is well understood, conditional inference…
By using the conjugate distribution technique of Cram\'er, we obtain some expansions of large deviation probabilities for martingales with differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein's condition. The expansions are of the same order as…
Given a sequence $(M^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ of nonnegative martingales starting at $M^n_0=1$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $(\widetilde{M}^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ and a limiting process $X$ such that…