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Strong lensing of gravitational waves can produce several detectable images as repeated events in the upcoming observing runs, which can be detected with the posterior overlap analysis (Bayes factor). The choice of the binary black hole…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-26 Damon H. T. Cheung , Stefano Rinaldi , Martina Toscani , Otto A. Hannuksela

In the Bayesian stochastic search variable selection framework, a common prior distribution for the regression coefficients is the g-prior of Zellner (1986). However, there are two standard cases in which the associated covariance matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-30 Meili Baragatti , Denys Pommeret

We study the Gaussian sequence compound decision problem and analyze a Bayesian nonparametric estimator from an empirical Bayes, regret-based perspective. Motivated by sharp results for the classical nonparametric maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Sid Kankanala

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

When the data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to a set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, fitting would require to find what measurand value is the most…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-07-21 Giovanni Mana , Enrico Massa , Maria Predescu

We develop extreme data compression for use in Bayesian model comparison via the MOPED algorithm, as well as more general score compression. We find that Bayes factors from data compressed with the MOPED algorithm are identical to those…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-17 Alan F. Heavens , Arrykrishna Mootoovaloo , Roberto Trotta , Elena Sellentin

Under model misspecification, the MLE generally converges to the pseudo-true parameter, the parameter corresponding to the distribution within the model that is closest to the distribution from which the data are sampled. In many problems,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-02 Peter Hoff , Jon Wakefield

Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio calculations. A particular attention is devoted to uncertainty evaluation for scaling factors, and to their…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-01-12 Pascal Pernot

Meinshausen and Buhlmann [Ann. Statist. 34 (2006) 1436--1462] showed that, for neighborhood selection in Gaussian graphical models, under a neighborhood stability condition, the LASSO is consistent, even when the number of variables is of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Cun-Hui Zhang , Jian Huang

The present paper investigates theoretical performance of various Bayesian wavelet shrinkage rules in a nonparametric regression model with i.i.d. errors which are not necessarily normally distributed. The main purpose is comparison of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marianna Pensky

The simultaneous estimation of many parameters based on data collected from corresponding studies is a key research problem that has received renewed attention in the high-dimensional setting. Many practical situations involve heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Trambak Banerjee , Luella J. Fu , Gareth M. James , Gourab Mukherjee , Wenguang Sun

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

In the social sciences we are often interested in comparing models specified by parametric equality or inequality constraints. For instance, when examining three group means $\{ \mu_1, \mu_2, \mu_3\}$ through an analysis of variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Guido Consonni , Roberta Paroli

A common task in high-throughput biology is to test for differences in means between two samples across thousands of features (e.g., genes or proteins), often with only a handful of replicates per sample. Moderated t-tests handle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Wanyi Ling , Wufang Hong , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Measures of association play a central role in the social sciences to quantify the strength of a linear relationship between the variables of interest. In many applications researchers can translate scientific expectations to hypotheses…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-04 Joris Mulder , John P. T. M. Gelissen

It is often claimed that Bayesian methods, in particular Bayes factor methods for hypothesis testing, can deal with optional stopping. We first give an overview, using elementary probability theory, of three different mathematical meanings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Allard Hendriksen , Rianne de Heide , Peter Grünwald

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

This work is concerned with nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing in the context of nonlinear inverse problems with random observations. Bayesian posterior distributions based upon a Gaussian process prior distribution are proven to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Remo Kretschmann , Han Cheng Lie

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis