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The classical notion of L\'evy process is generalized to one that takes as its values probabilities on a first order model equipped with a commutative semigroup. This is achieved by applying a convolution product on definable probabilities…

Logic · Mathematics 2009-10-27 Siu-Ah Ng

An approach is proposed to determine structural shift in time-series assuming non-linear dependence of lagged values of dependent variable. Copulas are used to model non-linear dependence of time series components.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Henry Penikas

The paper presents a multidimensional model for nonlinear Markovian random walks that generalizes one we developed previously (Phys. Rev. E v.79, 011110, 2009) in order to describe the Levy type stochastic processes in terms of continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Ihor Lubashevsky , Rudolf Friedrich , Andreas Heuer

This paper focuses on studying the long-time dynamics of the subordination process for a range of linear evolution equations, with a special emphasis on the fractional heat equation. By treating inverse subordinators as random time…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-19 N. Ajaber , A. Alshehri , H. Altamimi , M. Majdoub , E. Mliki

We propose new copulae to model the dependence between two Brownian motions and to control the distribution of their difference. Our approach is based on the copula between the Brownian motion and its reflection. We show that the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre

We assume that we have multiple ordinal time series and we would like to specify their joint distribution. In general it is difficult to create multivariate distribution that can be easily used to jointly model ordinal variables and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

In this paper we consider a ring of $N\ge 1$ queues served by a single server in a cyclic order. After having served a queue (according to a service discipline that may vary from queue to queue), there is a switch-over period and then the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Onno Boxma , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Michel Mandjes

We compute the value of a variance swap when the underlying is modeled as a Markov process time changed by a L\'{e}vy subordinator. In this framework, the underlying may exhibit jumps with a state-dependent L\'{e}vy measure, local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-03 Matthew Lorig , Oriol Lozano Carbasse , Rafael Mendoza-Arriaga

This paper introduces the novel class of modulated cyclostationary processes, a class of non-stationary processes exhibiting frequency coupling, and proposes a method of their estimation from repeated trials. Cyclostationary processes also…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-25 Sofia C. Olhede , Hernando Ombao

Time-changed stochastic processes have attracted great attention and wide interests due to their extensive applications, especially in financial time series, biology and physics. This paper pays attention to a special stochastic process,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-13 Yao Chen , Xudong Wang , Weihua Deng

A time-varying bivariate copula joint model, which models the repeatedly measured longitudinal outcome at each time point and the survival data jointly by both the random effects and time-varying bivariate copulas, is proposed in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

The present article studies survival analytic aspects of semiparametric copula dependence models with arbitrary univariate marginals. The underlying survival functions admit a representation via exponent measures which have an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-25 Jens Bendel , Dennis Dobler , Arnold Janssen

This paper provides a simple, yet reliable, alternative to the (Bayesian) estimation of large multivariate VARs with time variation in the conditional mean equations and/or in the covariance structure. With our new methodology, the original…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Mike Tsionas , Marwan Izzeldin , Lorenzo Trapani

In this note we generalise the Phillips theorem on the subordination of Feller processes by Levy subordinators to the class of additive subordinators (i.e. subordinators with independent but possibly nonstationary increments). In the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Aleksandar Mijatović , Martijn Pistorius

Brownian motion in one or more dimensions is extensively used as a stochastic process to model natural and engineering signals, as well as financial data. Most works dealing with multidimensional Brownian motion consider the different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-10 Michał Balcerek , Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Agnieszka Wyłomanska , Krzysztof Burnecki , Diego Krapf

We consider a wide class of increasing L\'evy processes perturbed by an independent Brownian motion as a degradation model. Such family contains almost all classical degradation models considered in the literature. Classically failure time…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Christian Paroissin , Landy Rabehasaina

In this paper, we extend recent work on the functions that we call Bernstein-gamma to the class of bivariate Bernstein-gamma functions. In the more general bivariate setting, we determine Stirling-type asymptotic bounds which generalise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Adam Barker , Mladen Savov

In the present paper, we give a condensed review, for the nonspecialist reader, of a new modelling framework for spatio-temporal processes, based on L\'{e}vy theory. We show the potential of the approach in stochastic geometry and spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Kristjana Ýr Jónsdóttir , Jürgen Schmiegel , Eva B. Vedel Jensen