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Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

In this paper, we study a multivariate version of the generalized counting process (GCP) and discuss its various time-changed variants. The time is changed using random processes such as the stable subordinator, inverse stable subordinator,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 K. K. Kataria , M. Dhillon

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

L\'{e}vy walk is a popular and more `physical' model to describe the phenomena of superdiffusion, because of its finite velocity. The movements of particles are under the influences of external potentials almost at anytime and anywhere. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Yao Chen , Weihua Deng

Distributional approximations of (bi--) linear functions of sample variance-covariance matrices play a critical role to analyze vector time series, as they are needed for various purposes, especially to draw inference on the dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

This article introduces Levy-driven graph supOU processes, a parsimonious parametrisation for high-dimensional time series in which dependence between components is governed by a graph structure. Specifically, the model bridges short- and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Shreya Mehta , Almut E. D. Veraart

Based on the concept of self-decomposability, we extend some recent multivariate L\'evy models built using multivariate subordination with the aim of capturing situations in which a sudden event in one market is propagated onto related…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

Multivariate subordinated L\'evy processes are widely employed in finance for modeling multivariate asset returns. We propose to exploit non-linear dependence among financial assets through multivariate cumulants of these processes, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Elvira Di Nardo , Marina Marena , Patrizia Semeraro

We construct optimal Markov couplings of L\'{e}vy processes, whose L\'evy (jump) measure has an absolutely continuous component. The construction is based on properties of subordinate Brownian motions and the coupling of Brownian motions by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-17 Björn Böttcher , René L. Schilling , Jian Wang

When is it possible to interpret a given Markov process as a L\'evy-like process? Since the class of L\'evy processes can be defined by the relation between transition probabilities and convolutions, the answer to this question lies in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Rúben Sousa , Manuel Guerra , Semyon Yakubovich

In the recent paper \cite{Ng5} we have introduced a method of studying the multi-dimensional Kingman convolutions and their associated stochastic processes by embedding them into some multi-dimensional ordinary convolutions which allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Thu Nguyen

An approach to modelling volatile financial return series using stationary d-vine copula processes combined with Lebesgue-measure-preserving transformations known as v-transforms is proposed. By developing a method of stochastically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Martin Bladt , Alexander J. McNeil

In this paper we consider a new mathematical extension of the Black-Scholes model in which the stochastic time and stock share price evolution is described by two independent random processes. The parent process is Brownian, and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

An approach to the modelling of volatile time series using a class of uniformity-preserving transforms for uniform random variables is proposed. V-transforms describe the relationship between quantiles of the stationary distribution of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Alexander J. McNeil

It is shown how to construct a successful co-adapted coupling of two copies of an $n$-dimensional Brownian motion $(B_1,...,B_n)$ while simultaneously coupling all corresponding copies of L\'{e}vy stochastic areas $\int B_i dB_j-\int B_j…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wilfrid S. Kendall

We develop a method that relates the truncated cumulant-function of the fourth order with the L\'evian cumulant-function. This gives us explicit formulas for the L\'evy-parameters, which allow a real-time analysis of the state of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

There exist only a few known examples of subordinators for which the transition probability density can be computed explicitly along side an expression for its L\'evy measure and Laplace exponent. Such examples are useful in several areas…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-25 James Burridge , Mateusz Kwaśnicki , Alexey Kuznetsov , Andreas Kyprianou

The original development of Shapley values for prediction explanation relied on the assumption that the features being described were independent. If the features in reality are dependent this may lead to incorrect explanations. Hence,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Kjersti Aas , Thomas Nagler , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

This paper considers the class of L\'evy processes that can be written as a Brownian motion time changed by an independent L\'evy subordinator. Examples in this class include the variance gamma model, the normal inverse Gaussian model, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-02 T. R. Hurd , A. Kuznetsov

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , James Robert Lloyd , Daniel Hernández-Lobato