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We present a Bayesian approach for modeling multivariate, dependent functional data. To account for the three dominant structural features in the data--functional, time dependent, and multivariate components--we extend hierarchical dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

Parametric copula families have been known to flexibly capture various dependence patterns, e.g., either positive or negative dependence in either the lower or upper tails of bivariate distributions. In this paper, our objective is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Ruyi Pan , Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Radu Craiu

We present a new way to compute the moments of the L\'evy area of a two-dimensional Brownian motion. Our approach uses iterated integrals and combinatorial arguments involving the shuffle product.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Levin , Mark Wildon

A Thorin process is a stochastic process with independent and stationary increments whose laws are weak limits of finite convolutions of gamma distributions. Many popular L\'evy processes fall under this class. The Thorin class can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Lorenzo Torricelli

This paper exhibits quadratic products of linear combinations of observables which identify the covariance structure underlying the univariate locally linear time series dynamic linear model. The first- and second-order moments for the…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 Darren J Wilkinson

We consider a class of L\'evy-type processes on which spectral analysis technics can be made to produce optimal results, in particular for the decay rate of their survival probability and for the spectral gap of their ground state…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Grégoire Véchambre

This paper introduces a linear state-space model with time-varying dynamics. The time dependency is obtained by forming the state dynamics matrix as a time-varying linear combination of a set of matrices. The time dependency of the weights…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-06 Jaakko Luttinen , Tapani Raiko , Alexander Ilin

We consider a pair of coupled queues driven by independent spectrally-positive Levy processes. With respect to the bi-variate workload process this framework includes both the coupled processor model and the two-server fluid network with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Onno Boxma , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We consider the problem of modeling the dependence among many time series. We build high dimensional time-varying copula models by combining pair-copula constructions (PCC) with stochastic autoregressive copula (SCAR) models to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Carlos Almeida , Claudia Czado , Hans Manner

A Brownian time process is a Markov process subordinated to the absolute value of an independent one-dimensional Brownian motion. Its transition densities solve an initial value problem involving the square of the generator of the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Boris Baeumer , Mark M. Meerschaert , Erkan Nane

In some areas of knowledge there are data representing directions restricted to a specific range of values. Consequently, it is useful to have models for describing variables defined in subsets of the k-dimensional unit sphere. This need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Joel Montesinos-Vazquez , Gabriel Núñez-Antonio

We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-26 Rubén Loaiza-Maya , Michael S. Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

To model subsurface flow in uncertain heterogeneous\ fractured media an elliptic equation with a discontinuous stochastic diffusion coefficient - also called random field - may be used. In case of a one-dimensional parameter space, L\'evy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

We consider a queuing model with the workload evolving between consecutive i.i.d. exponential timers $\{e_q^{(i)}\}_{i=1,2,...}$ according to a spectrally positive L\'{e}vy process $Y(t)$ which is reflected at 0. When the exponential clock…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Zbigniew Palmowski , Maria Vlasiou

In this paper we introduce a new class of state space models based on shot-noise simulation representations of non-Gaussian L\'evy-driven linear systems, represented as stochastic differential equations. In particular a conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Simon Godsill , Marina Riabiz , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

In the recent papers [Lochowski:2011fk, Lochowski:2013yq, Lochowski:2013lr] the truncated variation has been introduced, characterized and studied in various stochastic settings. In this note we uncover an intimate link to the Skorokhod…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Piotr Miłoś

We present a simple construction method for Feller processes and a framework for the generation of sample paths of Feller processes. The construction is based on state space dependent mixing of L\'evy processes. Brownian Motion is one of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-07 Björn Böttcher

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

In this article, we consider abstract linear conservative systems and their time-discrete counterparts. Our main result is a representation formula expressing solutions of the continuous model through the solution of the corresponding…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Sylvain Ervedoza , Enrique Zuazua

Fractional Brownian motion can be represented as an integral of a deterministic kernel w.r.t. an ordinary Brownian motion either on infinite or compact interval. In previous literature fractional L\'evy processes are defined by integrating…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Heikki Tikanmäki , Yuliya Mishura
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