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For challenging state estimation problems arising in domains like vision and robotics, particle-based representations attractively enable temporal reasoning about multiple posterior modes. Particle smoothers offer the potential for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Ali Younis , Erik B. Sudderth

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

We address the problem of approximating the posterior probability distribution of the fixed parameters of a state-space dynamical system using a sequential Monte Carlo method. The proposed approach relies on a nested structure that employs…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle

A standard approach to approximate inference in state-space models isto apply a particle filter, e.g., the Condensation Algorithm.However, the performance of particle filters often varies significantlydue to their stochastic nature.We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Dirk Ormoneit , Christiane Lemieux , David J. Fleet

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

Several numerical tools designed to overcome the challenges of smoothing in a nonlinear and non-Gaussian setting are investigated for a class of particle smoothers. The considered family of smoothers is induced by the class of linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Jana de Wiljes , Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich

We introduce a modified algorithm to perform nonlinear filtering of a time series by locally linear phase space projections. Unlike previous implementations, the algorithm can be used not only for a posteriori processing but includes the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber , Marcus Richter

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

Particle and ensemble filters are increasingly utilized for inference, optimization, and forecast; however, both filtering methods use discrete distributions to simulate continuous state space, a drawback that can lead to degraded…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-27 Wan Yang , Jeffrey Shaman

We consider the problem of state estimation in general state-space models using variational inference. For a generic variational family defined using the same backward decomposition as the actual joint smoothing distribution, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Mathis Chagneux , Élisabeth Gassiat , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff

The conditional particle filter (CPF) is a promising algorithm for general hidden Markov model smoothing. Empirical evidence suggests that the variant of CPF with backward sampling (CBPF) performs well even with long time series. Previous…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-29 Anthony Lee , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

We consider approximate maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models. We discuss both direct optimization of the likelihood and expectation--maximization (EM). For EM, we also give closed-form expressions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Juho Kokkala , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

The distributed filtering problem sequentially estimates a global state variable using observations from a network of local sensors with different measurement models. In this work, we introduce a novel methodology for distributed nonlinear…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Daniel Grange , Ricardo Baptista , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Allen Tannenbaum , Sean Phillips

Particle learning (PL) provides state filtering, sequential parameter learning and smoothing in a general class of state space models. Our approach extends existing particle methods by incorporating the estimation of static parameters via a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-05 Carlos M. Carvalho , Michael S. Johannes , Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson

Non-Gaussian state-space models arise in several applications, and within this framework the binary time series setting provides a relevant example. However, unlike for Gaussian state-space models - where filtering, predictive and smoothing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Augusto Fasano , Giovanni Rebaudo , Daniele Durante , Sonia Petrone

We present an adaptive smoother for linear state-space models with unknown process and measurement noise covariances. The proposed method utilizes the variational Bayes technique to perform approximate inference. The resulting smoother is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Tohid Ardeshiri , Emre Özkan , Umut Orguner , Fredrik Gustafsson

In this paper, a new framework, named as graphical state space model, is proposed for the real time optimal estimation of a class of nonlinear state space model. By discretizing this kind of system model as an equation which can not be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Shaolin Lü

State-space models are used to describe and analyse dynamical systems. They are ubiquitously used in many scientific fields such as signal processing, finance and ecology to name a few. Particle filters are popular inferential methods used…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-20 Alaa Amri